Texas Labeled Most 'Overvalued Team' in College Football

Originally posted on Athlon Sports | By Grant Bricker | Last updated Jun 13, 2025 6:18 PM ET

The Texas Longhorns are going to look much different this year after the losses of quarterback Quinn Ewers, offensive tackle Kelvin Banks Jr., receiver Matthew Golden, and others to the NFL.

Texas' regular-season win total for 2025 is set at 10.5, via ESPN BET.

However, not everyone is as sure that the Longhorns will win as many games. ESPN's Joe Fortenbaugh went on a recent edition of "Get Up" and urged people to take the under, calling Texas the most "overvalued team" in college football.

Arch Manning is expected to take over for Ewers after backing up the star quarterback for the last two seasons.

"They might be the most overvalued team in college football this year," Fortenbaugh said. "The win total's 10.5. You're only playing 12 games. Conference championships. Playoffs. That stuff doesn't count. I bet the under. All we need are two losses."

Head coach Steve Sarkisian has led the Longhorns to consecutive College Football Playoff appearances in the last two seasons. The last time Texas finished with under 10 wins in the Sarkisian era was 2022, when it went 8-5.

On top of a trip to the playoff, the Longhorns also reached the SEC Championship Game in their first season in the conference. Texas lost 22-19 in overtime to the Georgia Bulldogs and claimed the No. 5 seed in the CFP.

Fortenbaugh is not the only one to doubt Texas recently. The Longhorns' 2026 class was ranked sixth in the SEC by On3 Sports. However, it has not been all bad.

Texas gained some ground with five-star offensive tackle Felix Ojo after he canceled his official visit with the Oklahoma Sooners.

Sarkisian's Longhorns open the 2025 season with the Ohio State Buckeyes on August 30.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

More must-reads: