Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 319 (Saturday, August 16)

Photo by Jason Silva-Imagn Images. Pictured: Joseph Morales

Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 319 (Saturday, August 16)

Originally posted on Action Network | By Sean Zerillo | Last updated Aug 16, 2025 11:36 AM ET

Check out the Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales prediction for UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, with my betting preview and breakdown.

Alibi Idiris vs. Joseph Morales Odds

Idiris Odds	+125
Morales Odds	-150
Over/Under	1.5 (-225/+16o)
Location	United Center, Chicago
Bout Time	6:15 p.m. ET
TV/Streaming	ESPN+
UFC 319 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 319 with our DraftKings promo code.

Here’s my Idiris vs. Morales pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

	Idiris	Morales
Record	11-0-0	13-2-0
Avg. Fight Time		9:30
Height	5’6″	5’6″
Weight (pounds)	125 lbs.	125 lbs.
Reach (inches)		69″
Stance	Orthodox	Orthodox
Date of birth	10/22/1994	8/22/1994
Sig Strikes Per Min	0.00	1.58
SS Accuracy		37%
SS Absorbed Per Min		1.72
SS Defense		60%
Take Down Avg		0.53
TD Acc		50%
TD Def		23%
Submission Avg		2.6

Idiris vs. Morales Pick, Prediction

The first bout on Saturday’s card is the Ultimate Fighter 33 Flyweight tournament title bout between Kazakhstani Alibi Idiris and California native Joseph Morales, who had a prior three-fight run (1-2, including a loss to Deiveison Figueiredo) in the UFC from 2017 to 2018.

The fighters are similar in both measures and age; Idiris accumulated an unbeaten record on Naiza Fighting Championships – a Kazak regional promotion, while Morales has spent time in Cage Warriors since his first UFC stint.

As of Friday morning, no prop lines — or even a total — are as of yet available for this fight. We’ll revisit this matchup on fight day, and I will update this section if necessary, if I find anything actionable.

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Projection: Idiris (79.4%)

Sean’s Pick: TBD

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