
The Mountain West football win totals for 2026 will be all over the place.
It'll still be an interesting conference, but the loss of Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, San Diego State, and Utah State to the Pac-12 took out a bulk of the stars.
But Hawaii, New Mexico, and UNLV are still around after great seasons, Air Force, Wyoming, and San Jose State should be stronger, and then there are the additions.
North Dakota State should be an instant conference powerhouse, but it might take a bit for Northern Illinois and UTEP to get up to speed in their new league.
All of that means the win totals should be all over the place. Here's our first look prediction for each team, along with where the win totals should be set.
Quick Hits
Only the regular season games are included in the CFN win total projections. Each team's past records also only reflect the regular seasons.
- 2026 Mountain West Spring Rankings
CFN Spring Air Force Win Total: 5.5
CFN Air Force Projected Record: 7-5
Likely Wins: Duquesne, UTEP
Likely Losses: No sure thing losses
50/50 Games: at Army, Navy, at Nevada, at New Mexico, North Dakota State, at Northern Illinois, San Jose State, UConn, UNLV, at Wyoming
2025: Total 5.5 | Prediction 7-5 | Record 4-8
2024: Total 6.5 | Prediction 9-3 | Record 5-7
CFN Spring Hawaii Win Total: 7.5
CFN Hawaii Projected Record: 9-3
Likely Wins: New Mexico State, Sacramento State
Likely Losses: at Arizona State, at Stanford
50/50 Games: at Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota State, at Northern Illinois, San Jose State, UNLV, at UTEP
2025: Total 5.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 8-4
2024: Total 5.5 | Prediction 5-7 | Record 5-7
CFN Spring Nevada Win Total: 5.5
CFN Nevada Projected Record: 5-7
Likely Wins: No certain wins
Likely Losses: at UCLA
50/50 Games: Air Force, Hawaii, at Middle Tennessee, Montana State, at North Dakota State, at Northern Illinois, San Jose State, at UNLV, at UTEP, Western Kentucky
2025: Total 3.5 | Prediction 3-9 | Record 3-9
2024: Total 2.5 | Prediction 1-12 | Record 3-10
CFN Spring New Mexico Win Total: 7.5
CFN New Mexico Projected Record: 8-4
Likely Wins: Mercyhurst, UTEP
Likely Losses: at Oklahoma
50/50 Games: Air Force, Central Michigan, at Hawaii, at Nevada, at New Mexico State, North Dakota State, at San Jose State, UNLV, at Wyoming
2025: Total 3.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 8-4
2024: Total | Prediction | Record 5-7
CFN Spring North Dakota State Win Total: 8.5
CFN North Dakota State Projected Record: 8-4
Likely Wins: Fordham, Jacksonville State, Northern Illinois, at Sacramento State, UTEP
Likely Losses: No certain losses
50/50 Games: at Air Force, at Hawaii, Nevada, at New Mexico, at San Jose State, at UNLV, Wyoming
2025: Total NA | Prediction NA | Record 11-1
2024: Total NA | Prediction NA | Record 11-1
CFN Spring Northern Illinois Win Total: 3.5
CFN Northern Illinois Projected Record: 3-9
Likely Wins: No certain wins
Likely Losses: at Arizona, at Iowa, at North Dakota State, at UNLV
50/50 Games: Air Force, at Georgia State, Hawaii, Illinois State, Nevada, at San Jose State, UTEP, at Wyoming
2025: Total 6.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 3-9
2024: Total 6.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 7-5
CFN Spring San Jose State Win Total: 5.5
CFN San Jose State Projected Record: 5-7
Likely Wins: Cal Poly
Likely Losses: at USC
50/50 Games: at Air Force, at Eastern Michigan, Fresno State, at Hawaii, at Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota State, Northern Illinois, UNLV, at UTEP, Wyoming
2025: Total 7.5 | Prediction 7-5 | Record 3-9
2024: Total 4.5 | Prediction 4-8 | Record 7-5
CFN Spring UNLV Win Total: 9.5
CFN UNLV Projected Record: 9-3
Likely Wins: at Akron, Northern Illinois
Likely Losses: No certain losses
50/50 Games: at Air Force, Cal, at Hawaii, Memphis, Nevada, at New Mexico, North Dakota State, at North Texas, at San Jose State, Wyoming
2025: Total 8.5 | Prediction 8-4 | Record 10-2
2024: Total 7.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 10-2
CFN Spring UTEP Win Total: 3.5
CFN UTEP Projected Record: 2-10
Likely Wins: Texas Southern
Likely Losses: at Michigan, at North Dakota State, at Oklahoma
50/50 Games: at Air Force, Hawaii, Nevada, at New Mexico, at Northern Illinois, Oregon State, San Jose State, Texas Southern, Wyoming
2025: Total 5.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 2-10
2024: Total 4.5 | Prediction 3-9 | Record 3-9
CFN Spring Wyoming Win Total: 5.5
CFN Wyoming Projected Record: 6-6
Likely Wins: Northern Colorado, Northern Illinois
Likely Losses: No certain losses
50/50 Games: Air Force, at Central Michigan, at Colorado State, Hawaii, New Mexico, at North Dakota State, at San Jose State, UConn, at UNLV, at UTEP
2025: Total 5.5 | Prediction 6-6 | Record 4-8
2024: Total 6.5 | Prediction 7-5 | Record 3-9
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