Oregon vs Liberty Prediction, Preview & Odds: NCAA Tournament First Round

Oregon vs Liberty How To Watch

Date: Friday, March 21
Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
Time: 10:10 pm ET
TV: truTV
Teams: (11) Liberty (28-6), (5) Oregon (24-9)
Region: East
NCAA Tournament Schedule, Predictions, Previews

Why Liberty Will Win

Threes, threes, threes. Liberty takes about 27 per game, it makes them around 39% of the time, and they’re great at cranking up the defense from three.

The Flames can get inside, too - they finished sixth in the nation in shooting percentage - but it’s on when the outside shots are dropping.

Oregon is okay at stopping the three, but it’s not elite at it. It’s not used to getting hit with double-digit threes, though - it’ll have to crank up the offense for a full 40 minutes. But …

Why Oregon Will Win

UCLA hit the Ducks with 11 made threes in a win over a month ago. That was the only time in the last 20 games that anyone made double-digit threes on this defense.

And yes, Liberty is great at getting to the rim and scoring in bunches, too - it was able to beat Kansas State. But it’s about to deal with size on the interior.

The Flames have really quick, really small guards, a big 6-8, 230-pound pounder in Own Aquino, and that’s about it.

7-0 Nathan Bittle is the main man for Oregon, and there are plenty of options off the bench to keep handling anything Liberty does inside.

Oregon vs Liberty: Who Will Win?

It’ll be a home crowd in Seattle - the Duck fans will make the trip - and Liberty has to take it out of the picture right away.

It’ll hit its share of outside shots, but this isn’t Conference USA. The Oregon offense will keep up in a variety of ways - it’ll hit from three, too.

It’ll be fun, with the points and offense enough to keep you awake in a wild way to end the first round.

Oregon vs Liberty Prediction, Betting Lines

Prediction: Oregon 77, Liberty 68
Oregon vs Liberty Betting Lines
BetMGM Line: Oregon -7.5, o/u: 139.5
DraftKings Line: Oregon -6.5, o/u: 139.5
FanDuel Line: Oregon -6.5, o/u: 138.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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