Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke

Originally posted on Louisville Cardinals on SI
By Matthew McGavic | Last updated Feb 27, 2024 11:00 AM ET

Louisville (8-19, 3-13 ACC) is set to face Duke (21-6, 12-4 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 28 at 7:00 p.m. EST from Cameron Indoor Stadium. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

- Rankings:

	Duke	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	8th/7th	NR/NR
NET	10th	206th
RPI	25th	269th
SOS	79th	111th
BPI	9th	216th
KenPom	9th	190th
Torvik	12th	198th

- Team Leaders:

	Duke	Louisville
Points	Kyle Filipowski (16.9)	Skyy Clark (13.3)
Rebounds	Kyle Filipowski (8.2)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.4)
Assists	Tyrese Proctor (3.6)	Ty-Laur Johnson (3.8)
Steals	Jeremy Roach (1.2)	Ty-Laur Johnson (1.2)
Blocks	Kyle Filipowski (1.7)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

	Duke	Louisville
Points Per Game	80.4	72.6
Field Goal %	48.3%	43.5%
FGM/FGA Per Game	28.3/58.7	25.0/57.4
Three Point %	38.2%	30.4%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.4/22.0	5.4/17.7
Free Throw %	73.0%	74.8%
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.3/21.0	17.3/23.1

- Rebounding:

	Duke	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	36.3	35.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.1	10.4
Def. Reb. Per Game	26.2	24.9
Rebound Margin	4.8	0.8

- Defense:

	Duke	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	67.7	78.6
Opp. FG%	43.2%	46.6%
Opp. 3P%	32.4%	36.3%
Steals Per Game	6.4	5.2
Blocks Per Game	3.7	2.7
Turnovers Forced Per Game	11.6	11.3

- Ball Handling:

	Duke	Louisville
Assists Per Game	15.4	11.1
Turnovers Per Game	9.9	12.8
Turnover Margin	1.7	-1.5
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.6	0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 1.3 percent chance to win against Duke.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a two percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 88-66 in favor of Duke.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a three percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 89-67 in favor of Duke.

- Personal Prediction: Duke 91, Louisville 75.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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