Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Florida State

Originally posted on Louisville Cardinals on SI
By Matthew McGavic | Last updated Feb 2, 2024 6:00 AM ET

Louisville (6-15, 1-9 ACC) is set to face Florida State (12-8, 6-3 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 3 at 8:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles:

- Rankings:

	Florida State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	NR/NR
NET	86th	222nd
RPI	50th	261st
SOS	9th	101st
BPI	76th	226th
KenPom	71st	195th
Torvik	68th	220th

- Team Leaders:

	Florida State	Louisville
Points	Jamir Watkins (13.9)	Mike James (13.4)
Rebounds	Jamir Watkins (5.9)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.6)
Assists	Jamir Watkins (3.0)	Ty-Laur Johnson (3.2)
Steals	Jamir Watkins (1.7)	Ty-Laur Johnson (1.1)
Blocks	Baba Miller (1.1)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

	Florida State	Louisville
Points Per Game	76.6	71.5
Field Goal %	44.2%	42.9%
FGM/FGA Per Game	20.3/61.7	24.6/57.4
Three Point %	33.3%	30.9%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	6.6/19.7	5.6/18.0
Free Throw %	68.9%	74.0%
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.5/22.5	16.7/22.5

- Rebounding:

	Florida State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.2	35.3
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.6	10.6
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.6	24.7
Rebound Margin	-2.1	0.3

- Defense:

	Florida State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	73.4	77.3
Opp. FG%	43.7%	46.2%
Opp. 3P%	33.2%	35.0%
Steals Per Game	9.3	5.3
Blocks Per Game	4.0	2.6
Turnovers Forced Per Game	15.6	11.6

- Ball Handling:

	Florida State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	12.9	10.7
Turnovers Per Game	12.1	12.6
Turnover Margin	3.5	-1.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.1	0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 23.2 percent chance to win against Florida State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 27 percent chance to take down the Seminoles, with a projected final score of 78-71 in favor of Florida State.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 24 percent chance to take down the Seminoles, with a projected final score of 78-70 in favor of Florida State.

- Personal Prediction: Florida State 81, Louisville 73.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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