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Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Kentucky
Nov 30, 2024; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals running back Duke Watson (26) runs the ball during the third quarter against the Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images Jordan Prather-Imagn Images

Louisville (7-4, 4-4 ACC) is set to face Kentucky (5-6, 2-6 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 29 at 12:00 p.m. EST at L&M Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wildcats:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Offensive Statistics

Key: National Rank out of 136 FBS Teams (Value)

Defensive Statistics

Key: National Rank out of 136 FBS Teams (Value)

Special Teams Statistics

Key: National Rank out of 136 FBS Teams (Value)

Predictions:

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 52.9 percent chance to win against the Wildcats. Louisville has an FPI rating of 6.8 (44th overall), whereas Kentucky has an FPI rating of 7.7 (38th overall)

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 67 percent chance to take down the Wildcats. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 9.1 (37th overall), whereas Kentucky has an SP+ rating of 4.6 (57th overall).

- Sagarin Prediction: Per Jeff Sagarin's ratings, the Cardinals have an 56 percent chance to defeat the Wildcats. Louisville has a Sagarin rating of 37th (77.28 overall), whereas Kentucky has a Sagarin rating of 40th (76.74 overall)

- Kelley Ford Prediction: Per the Kelley Ford ratings, the Cardinals have a 66 percent chance to defeat the Wildcats. Louisville has a KFord rating of 8.0 (40th overall), whereas Kentucky has a KFord rating of 7.2 (46th overall)

- College Football Graphs Prediction: Per College Football Graph's EPA Margin metric, the Cardinals have a 55.1 percent chance to take down the Wildcats. Louisville has an EPA Margin of 0.071 (49th overall), whereas Kentucky has an EPA Margin rating of 0.058 (53rd overall).

- Personal Prediction: Kentucky 17, Louisville 14.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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