Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. NC State

Originally posted on Louisville Cardinals on SI
By Matthew McGavic | Last updated Mar 11, 2024 11:00 AM ET

Louisville (8-23, 3-17 ACC) is set to face NC State (17-14, 9-11 ACC) in the ACC Tournament on Tuesday, Mar. 12 at 4:30 p.m. EST from Capital One Arena. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

	NC State	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	NR/NR	NR/NR
NET	80th	214th
RPI	113th	282nd
BPI	72nd	222nd
SOS	81st	99th
KenPom	76th	197th
Torvik	76th	208th

- Team Leaders:

	NC State	Louisville
Points	D.J. Horne (16.8)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (12.8)
Rebounds	Mohamed Diarra (6.6)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.5)
Assists	Michael O'Connell (3.0)	Ty-Laur Johnson (3.7)
Steals	D.J. Horne (1.4)	Ty-Laur Johnson (1.4)
Blocks	Mohamed Diarra (0.8)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

	NC State	Louisville
Points Per Game	75.5	71.6
Field Goal %	44.4%	43.2%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.3/61.5	24.7/57.3
Three Point %	34.6%	29.8%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	7.2/20.9	5.3/17.8
Free Throw %	72.3%	74.2%
FTM/FTA Per Game	13.6/18.9	16.8/22.6

- Rebounding:

	NC State	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.0	34.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.6	10.0
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.4	24.6
Rebound Margin	-1.5	-0.3

- Defense:

	NC State	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	72.8	78.6
Opp. FG%	44.5%	47.1%
Opp. 3P%	35.1%	37.2%
Steals Per Game	7.2	5.4
Blocks Per Game	3.3	2.5
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.5	11.5

- Ball Handling:

	NC State	Louisville
Assists Per Game	12.7	11.1
Turnovers Per Game	9.6	12.7
Turnover Margin	2.9	-1.2
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.3	0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has an 11.3 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 20 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of Boston College.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 18 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of NC State.

- Personal Prediction: NC State 85, Louisville 70.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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