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Tyler Shough 2025 Dynasty Outlook
- Aug 23, 2025; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Tyler Shough (6) runs in for a touchdown against Denver Broncos linebacker Andrew Farmer (53) during the fourth quarter at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Hinton-Imagn Images

Tyler Shough isn’t your typical second-round quarterback pick, and frankly, that’s exactly what makes him so intriguing. At 25 years old, this Louisville product has taken the scenic route to New Orleans: bouncing from Oregon to Texas Tech to Louisville like a college football nomad searching for his home.

Derek Carr’s Retirement Opens the Door

When Derek Carr announced his retirement in May, suddenly Tyler Shough went from developmental project to potential Week 1 starter. The Saints didn’t exactly have a treasure trove of quarterback talent lying around, which means this late-b loomer might just get his shot sooner than anyone expected.

Sure, Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener are in the mix, but let’s be real, neither of them screams “franchise quarterback” either. The Saints’ brass clearly saw something in Tyler Shough when they burned a second-round pick on him, and Carr’s sudden exit has fast-tracked those development plans.

The Tale of Two Preseasons

Here’s where things get interesting, and by interesting, I mean potentially concerning for Saints fans. Tyler Shough’s preseason performances have been about as consistent as New Orleans weather in hurricane season.

In his debut against the Chargers, he completed 15 of 22 passes for 165 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Not terrible, especially considering he outplayed Rattler. But then came the follow-up against Jacksonville, a pedestrian 9-of-12 for just 66 yards that had all the explosiveness of a damp firecracker.

The kid showed resilience, bouncing back from that awful pick in his first game, but the lack of big plays is becoming a concerning pattern. When you’re fighting for a starting job, “serviceable” doesn’t exactly set hearts racing.

Landing Spot: Saints’ Offensive Identity Crisis

Let’s talk about where Tyler Shough landed, because context matters. The Saints aren’t exactly the offensive juggernaut they once were under Sean Payton. With Kellen Moore now calling plays, there’s potential for quarterback-friendly schemes, but this isn’t Kansas City or Buffalo we’re talking about.

The receiving corps is solid but not spectacular, and the offensive line has question marks. For a quarterback who already struggles with accuracy and anticipation, stepping into a situation that requires precision and quick decision-making could be problematic.

The Age Factor: Blessing or Curse?

May 10, 2025; New Orleans, LA, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Tyler Shough (6) during rookie minicamp at Ochsner Sports Performance Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

At 25, Tyler Shough is older than roughly a third of current NFL starting quarterbacks. That’s either the wisdom of experience or the concerning reality that he needed seven years of college football to figure things out.

The optimistic take? He’s seasoned, physically mature, and should be mentally ready for the NFL grind. The pessimistic view? If it took him this long to put it together in college, what makes anyone think the NFL will be easier?

Fantasy Football Implications

From a dynasty perspective, Tyler Shough represents the ultimate boom-or-bust play. His ADP has been sliding as preseason performances failed to inspire confidence, but that might actually create value for savvy dynasty managers.

In Superflex leagues, any quarterback with a clear path to starting carries inherent value. The Saints‘ schedule isn’t murderous, and if Tyler Shough can manage the game effectively, he could provide surprising fantasy production.

But let’s not kid ourselves, this isn’t a player you’re building your team around. He’s a flier with upside, nothing more.

The Bottom Line: Proceed with Caution

Tyler Shough embodies everything frustrating about NFL quarterback evaluation. The physical tools are there: 6’5″ frame, decent arm strength, adequate mobility. But the mental processing and accuracy concerns that plagued him in college haven’t magically disappeared.

The Saints are essentially betting that coaching and NFL-level competition will unlock something that multiple college programs couldn’t fully develop. It’s not impossible, but it’s not exactly a bet I’d mortgage my fantasy season on either.

For dynasty managers, Tyler Shough represents a calculated risk worth taking in the later rounds. The opportunity is there, the situation isn’t terrible, and stranger things have happened in the NFL. Just don’t expect miracles from a quarterback who needed this long to find his way to professional football.

This article first appeared on Total Apex Fantasy Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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