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Another Second Half Heater is Improving the A’s 2026 Outlook
Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

You might remember the then Oakland A’s catching your eye in the second half last season. After a putrid 37-61 record in the first half the A’s finished strong at 32-32 in the second half giving fans hope for the future.

Fast forward a year, as the [REDACTED] Athletics wrap another sub-80 win season, and you will find them in the same boat from last year, only with the sails catching a bit more wind. At the time of writing this the A’s are seven games over .500 in the second half with a more complete team than we have seen in several years.

I know it might sound crazy. Getting exciting about a non-playoff teams second half might seem pointless to some. But, the A’s have been building something that might be able to to turn into something faster than you may think.

Last season’s surge (for lack of a better word) was due to their offense. Lawrence Butler, Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker, and others were all contributing to a level of seriously completive baseball. However, the A’s pitching mirrored a minor league team giving themselves a fairly limited ceiling.

What we have in the second half this season is different.

Pitching is Coming Around

When the A’s added Luis Severino, Jeffrey Springs, and Jose Leclerc the pitching definitely improved. Three veterans who have had success, no matter the variation, was a step in the right direct. Although not nearly enough to change the trajectory of the team, the staff did improve.

Over the course of the season the A’s were finally able to see a few arms blossom from inside their organization. Either through drafting or reclamation projects, the A’s were able to add a few arms that have at least established themselves as major leaguers, which they could not say back in March.

The rotation has seen three arms emerge as potential future pieces. Lefty Jacob Lopez and his seven-foot extension, funky sidearm delivery, and low velo fastball that batters struggle to pick up for one reason or another was the first to catch eyes.

Lopez was moved to the rotation quickly and over 17 starts pitched to a 3.96 ERA across 84 innings where his kitchen sink approach with five different pitches, all sitting 90 mph or below, kept batters from finding comfort in the box. He managed to post a 10.97 K/9 while also inducing soft contact which limited damage.

Injury sidelined him in September but what we saw in his first real stint in the majors was enough to make me a believer. It might be closer to a back-end starter than a front-of-the-rotation arm, but the A’s will take any organizational wins that they can get.

Another arm who profiles more of a back-end guy is J.T. Ginn. Ginn was a former highly rated prospect who came to the A’s back in 2022 in the Chris Bassitt trade with the Mets. Injury held him back to a point that many wrote him off as a prospect. After debuting with some success last year, Ginn took a big step this season posting a 4.57 ERA, 4.64 FIP, and 3.71 xERA.

Ginn was the type of pitcher opposing fans didn’t know much about but afterwards found them selves wondering who is that? Not because he dominated a lineup, but instead because of how much his stuff stands out.

The problem was consistency and location, which did result in some hard hit balls, but I often left impressed after seeing several pitches each start that show what made him a top prospect. In my opinion, his slider is his best pitch and one that can keep him in the league while his sinker has the movement profile to be a plus pitch but needs some command work.

Overall, Ginn impressed me; ERA and other more baseline stats aside. If I’m the A’s, I’d be excited about having a back end of the rotation of Lopez and Ginn, both of whom have not reached their ceiling. But, what I’d be most excited about is the guy with “ace” potential.

That guy would be Luis Morales, who didn’t debut until the second half. The now-23-year-old was always an underrated prospect in my eyes. A 97 mph fastball with good ride usually will find you a place in the majors. His sweeper has goofy movement and his slider brings another breaking ball with a few added ticks of velocity.

His first three starts did not have an outing allowing more than two runs. A rough outing against Boston, in hitter friendly Sacramento, screwed his numbers but he followed it with two more starts of three or less runs.

Morales has run into a bit of a home run problem which is not entirely uncommon for young pitchers. His 7.77 K/9 will not jump off the page but he has the stuff to see that number climb to around 10 K/9. I’m high on his upside and think the A’s have an arm that should help lead the rotation.

Of course, it’s not just the rotation that has pitched well in the second half. Lefty Hogan Harris has pitched to a 1.52 ERA while going multiple innings when called upon. Elvis Alvarado has racked up 32 strikeouts across 27 innings with a 3.33 ERA. Jack Perkins, before injury shut him down, was used in a bulk inning/starter role, and pitching well.

While we still don’t know enough or have a large sample size, the A’s are finding arms that will at least work. Arms that will not completely sink whatever their offense puts up. Arms that give this team a chance heading into next season.

Offense Has Top 10 Potential?

How many A’s, with at least 450 plate appearances, have a 120 wRC+ or better? Seriously, think of a number. The correct answer is five: Nick Kurtz (172), Shea Langeliers (129), Tyler Soderstrom (126), Jacob Wilson (122) and Brent Rooker (122). Every name listed here is a core piece with several years of control left before they have to be discussed in trades.

Of those five names above a 120 wRC+, none seem uncommon. We are not talking about a pop up prospect or crazy hot streak with an expected regression. These are either top prospects who are proving they’re here to stay or guys with enough of a track record to expect a high baseline.

Add Lawrence Butler to the mix, who had a down year but still has talent, and you can see where the top 10 claim is not unhinged. Hell, even JJ Bleday has bounced back with an .811 OPS in the second half. Outfielder Colby Thomas has struggled in his rookie season but you would think one of these three names, most likely Butler, can provide enough to not make a corner outfield spot a dark hole.

Luckily, the A’s have gotten more than anyone expected out of Carlos Cortes. The 28 year-old rookie joined the team in July and has slashed .314/.330/.558 with four home runs, seven doubles, and a 137 wRC+ across 91 plate appearances. I don’t think the upside is nearly as high as the other outfielders I mentioned, but his bat has helped the A’s immensely.

The A’s second half wRC+ is in the top 10 in large part due to Nick Kurtz. His .330 average, 18 home runs, and 204 wRC+ in the second half show the upside of what could be a franchise player. He continues to improve with each at-bat and I’m nowhere close to being ready to put a ceiling on the type of player he could be.

At the end of the day, you don’t need the deepest lineup in the league to compete. If you have a few true impact players, which the A’s are starting to prove they do, you have a shot. What we have seen since the All-Star break is a good offense with room to grow, which is all you can ask for out of a non-playoff team.

Final Thoughts

If you have made it this far, that means you didn’t get sick of me for being overly optimistic about a team with a loser owner. Thank you. The A’s and their fans have been through enough over the past few seasons and believing in their season’s high mark is more than just fun, it’s fair.

This team has talent. They might not have much experience but that continues to change month by month. I’m not saying they will be a playoff team next season. But, they are not far away from being in the mix. Round out the bench, add a few more arms, and the A’s are back to being a team you don’t want to face.

This article first appeared on Just Baseball and was syndicated with permission.

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