Astros Predicted to Cut Ties With Framber Valdez Before $180 Million Decision

Valdez was recently involved in a cross-up controversy after giving up a grand slam in his last start against the New York Yankees. He appeared to strike catcher Cesar Salazar with a pitch, sparking criticism across the league. Valdez later apologized, and both players publicly cleared the air, but speculation lingered about whether the incident was intentional.

Despite the on-field drama, The Athletic's Chandler Rome believes Valdez may depart in the offseason—not because of the controversy, but due to financial limitations.

In an appearance on the "Foul Territory" podcast, the Astros beat reporter said, “The Astros have never guaranteed a player more than $151 million, much less a pitcher. Jim Crane has not given massive deals to starting pitchers… The Astros probably aren't bringing Valdez back, but that's more of a money thing. That's more of like that he is going to want a contract that they just don't give.”

Valdez’s projected contract range could land between $150 million and $180 million over six years, given his age and consistency.

Over the last four seasons, including 2025, Valdez has logged at least 25 starts with an ERA under 3.5 each year—durability and performance rarely seen among starters.

Max Fried signed an eight-year $218 million deal with the Yankees last offseason at a year younger than Valdez, so it’s likely Valdez will be paid a similar deal for slightly less value. But the Astros may not be the best suitor, especially given the competition they’ll face for him.