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Astros Sign Nate Pearson: What to Make of Move
David Frerker-Imagn Images

It’s been nearly a decade since Nate Pearson, a 2017 first-round pick, has been in the pros. However, it’s been an odyssey to get him to reach his once-lofty potential. The Astros will take a shot at trying to work with him. Pearson is reportedly signing with Houston on a one-year deal, joining an Astros team that will have a very different-looking rotation next year.

A Look at Pearson

The Blue Jays promoted Nate Pearson for his MLB debut way back in 2020 during the pandemic-shortened season. Pearson was originally a starter but only worked five games (four starts) that year due to injury. And unfortunately for the 29-year-old, injuries have been a large problem for him.

Pearson, exclusively a reliever the past few seasons, had myriad stints on the IL over the last few seasons. But on top of that, it’s also been an ability to command his stuff where it needs to go. He sported BB% rates north of 13% in three of five seasons, and additionally, abnormally high barreled-up rates.

From a stuff standpoint, Pearson has always been a highly intriguing arm. The right-hander has sporadically used a changeup and, most recently, a two-seamer in his arsenal. However, the big three in his repertoire have been the hard plus-plus fastball that got him drafted in the first round in 2017, plus a hard slider & curveball.

His fastball has varied from a movement profile. When he first came up, it was a true riser. However, over the last few years, it’s shown more cut than run. Pearson can regularly run it up to the upper-90s and often hit 101 MPH down in Iowa (AAA).

The slider is hard, high-80s weapon, while the curveball can touch as low as 76-77 and hard as 83 MPH. Pearson mainly used the curve as a change-of-pace weapon against left-handed hitters.

Nate Pearson 2025 AAA Pitch Movement Via New Baseball Media

Despite the premium velocity (and extension) that helps make the fastball pop, the reality is that Pearson has not been successful when it comes to controlling outcomes. For one, he’s never had great swing-and-miss numbers across his Major League career.

Nate Pearson Career Whiff Rate MLB Covers MLB from 2020 through 2025. (Via New Baseball Media)

It’s also been tough for Pearson, who possesses a high-tempo delivery, from being able to avoid playing around in the middle of the zone.

Pearson bounced around the Majors with the Cubs and Iowa this past season. He was DFA’d and released in late September.

Per the New York Times, the Astros are signing Nate Pearson to a one-year deal worth $1.35MM. It’s expected that the Astros will deploy Pearson as a starter.

Analysis

It’s not hard to see why the Astros are looking for depth starting pitching heading into 2026.

Brandon Walter and Luis Garcia both required Tommy John surgeries back in September, both of which came at a trying time for Houston. The Astros also lost Spencer Arrighetti to elbow inflammation in September for the remainder of that regular season.

When taking into account those two losses, coupled with Ronel Blanco & Hayden Wesneski also going down to TJ surgery last year, and potentially losing Framber Valdez to free agency, the need for starting pitching is there.

Pearson has three pitches to work with, although in this day of age, having five and six is significantly more advantageous when it comes to getting through orders multiple times.

This article first appeared on New Baseball Media and was syndicated with permission.

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