ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Alcaraz vs Walton

ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals

Alcaraz – Walton: 18.01.2026 10.30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Carlos Alcaraz has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, Alcaraz has not played any competitive matches. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here. Last season, Alcaraz was stopped by Djokovic in the quarterfinals, losing in four tight sets.

Adam Walton has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Walton failed to qualify for the main draw. He has never made it past the opening round at the Australian Open. Last season, Walton lost to Halys in five tight sets in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Spaniard played well in the exhibition tournament against Sinner. Both players struggled at the Australian Open. However, Alcaraz has all the weapons to dominate in this matchup and win easily.

That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -9.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Altmaier – Cilic: 19.01.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Daniel Altmaier has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Altmaier lost in the opening round in both Adelaide and Brisbane. This will be his fifth appearance in Melbourne. Last season, the German lost to Monfils in the second round in straight sets.

Marin Cilic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Cilic lost to Borges in the second round in straight sets. Last season, the Croat skipped the Australian Open due to an injury. His last appearance here was in 2024, where he lost in the opening round against Marozsan in four tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Cilic is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. His experience will be crucial in this matchup. Cilic enjoys playing on fast courts at the Australian Open. We expect him to dominate on his serve and win this match.

That being said, Cilic winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Marin Cilic winning @1.57 @bet365

Arnaldi – Rublev: 19.01.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-2

Matteo Arnaldi has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Arnaldi has only played in Brisbane, where he failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. Last season at the Australian Open, Arnaldi lost to Musetti in the opening round in four tight sets.

Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Rublev lost to Musetti in the semifinals in three tight sets. Last season in Melbourne, Rublev lost to Fonseca in the opening round in straight sets. The Russian was a quarterfinalist here three times.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Arnaldi is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Arnaldi defeated Rublev twice already. Last season in Indian Wells, Arnaldi defeated Rublev in straight sets under similar conditions. We expect a close match that could go either way.

That being said, Arnaldi covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi +4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365