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Eugenio Suárez and the Reds Reunite: Full Fit Analysis
(Top Image Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images)

With the offseason coming to an end soon, most of the major free agents have inked a new deal. However, fans were wondering when and where the free agent, who is coming off a 49-home-run season, will sign. The 34-year-old Eugenio Suárez ended up reuniting with the Reds on a one-year, $15 million deal with a mutual option for the 2027 season.

With this signing, the entire lineup of the Reds may be shuffled. How does he fit with this current edition of the Cincinnati Reds, one that is much different from the one he used to play with? How does the contract situation affect the subsequent offseason, and how will the positions be shifted on the field and in the lineup?

Suárez’s New Contract

Starting off easy, Suárez essentially had to settle for a one-year deal worth $15 million, which was well below what people envisioned for him prior to the offseason. Many believed he would ink a three-year deal worth anywhere from $50 million to $60 million.

The mutual option for 2027 will be worth $16 million, although mutual options are rarely exercised by both sides.

Suárez’s 2025 Season

Suárez was one of the final big-time free agents to sign this winter. Especially with the low price tag, some are wondering why his market seemed so low despite him being an All-Star in 2025.

His 2025 season was truly a tale of two seasons, first with the Diamondbacks, then with the Mariners. Suárez played in 106 games for the Diamondbacks, where he rightfully earned his All-Star nod. He slashed .248/.320/.576 for an .897 OPS. Along with 36 home runs and a 142 OPS+, he was one of the best bats in the league at the time, and it was going to waste on a D-Backs team that was going towards selling at the trade deadline.

The Mariners pulled the trigger for Suárez, returning to Seattle after having last played there in 2023. Unfortunately for both him and the Mariners, he was unable to sustain the high-level offensive production as he regressed heavily. In 53 games for Seattle, he slashed just .189/.255/.428 for a .682 OPS and 94 OPS+. He was a below league-average hitter down the stretch for the Mariners, and his 13 home runs gave him a total of 49 on the year.

Along with his age (34, turning 35 in June), the Mariners were content with letting him walk. Overall, for the season, here are Suárez’s stats:

.228/.298/.526

.824 OPS

126 OPS+

49 HR / 118 RBI

Why the “Cheap” Contract?

On the surface, it is a bit difficult to understand how he ended up with a one-year deal at just $15 million. However, a quick glance can explain the hesitancy in signing him to a long-term deal or committing a big chunk of money to him.

First of all, Suárez strikes out at an extremely high rate and has always done so. He has led the league in strikeouts three separate times.

189 SO – 2019

196 SO – 2022

214 SO – 2023

With 196 strikeouts in 2025, he didn’t lead the league, but he was at the top. His strikeout rate is almost always around 30%, which is obviously extremely high, and many teams are starting to turn against the three true outcome style of hitting. We saw how quickly it was for Suárez’s production to plummet as soon as the ball wasn’t leaving the yard every other game.

The truth is, when Suárez isn’t hitting home runs or doubles, he is essentially not producing much since he punches out so much.

Chasing and swinging, and missing contribute to strikeouts, and Suarez does both of them as well. In 2025, he had a 31.0 Chase% (30th percentile) and a 33.3 Whiff% (4th percentile).

Defense has been a point of emphasis in his game, too, as it regressed in 2025 after years of being above average.

Suárez’s Positional Fit

Positionally, Suárez is a primary third baseman. However, with Ke’Bryan Hayes being a Gold Glover and under contract for years to come, Suárez will have to move elsewhere.

First base seems like the top prospect, Sal Stewart’s position for 2026, which is the only other position that suits Suárez. This means that Suárez will receive the bulk of his at-bats as a designated hitter. He will likely fill in at first base here or there or cover third base if Hayes ever goes down with an injury.

Being a full-time DH is not for everybody, as some aren’t used to sitting for half an hour in between plate appearances. For Suárez, this will be his first time being a full-time DH, which is risky because of the possible adjustment period, but can also be helpful. He is 34 years old, and his defense has regressed already. Being a full-time DH will allow him to rest up and be as fresh as possible while also playing every day.

Reasons For Suárez’s Struggles

It’s obvious that Suárez did not perform well down the stretch for the Mariners, but there are plenty of factors that can explain the struggles. T-Mobile Park is one of the most difficult ballparks in MLB to hit in due to the large outfield and low elevation. Many players from past to present have expressed their frustrations when hitting there, stating that the balls seem to die right at or around the fence, no matter the quality of contact.

A 53-game sample is also a small one when assessing a player’s true abilities, and it would be easy to assume that his production on the season was somewhere between his 142 OPS+ from the first half and his 94 OPS+ from the second half. It is also a difficult adjustment when getting traded in the middle of the season, even if he has had prior experience with Seattle.

Suárez’s Perfect Fit With the Reds

With all the previous negativity and doubt comes the other side of the coin, one that is much more fun to discuss. Suárez is a slugger who has a prior connection to Cincinnati, is a fan favorite, plays every day, and is a great locker room guy.

Obviously, some parts of the sentence are immeasurable intangible, but we have seen what a bad locker room can do to a team. This Reds group is relatively young and barely has any postseason experience, something that Suarez can bring.

In Cincinnati, Suárez will play in one of the more hitter-friendly ballparks home runs-wise, which just so happens to be his specialty. The Reds are a team lacking offense, especially in the power department, as Elly De La Cruz’s 22 homers led the team. You can essentially book Suarez for 30 to 35 home runs in 2026, barring injury.

This transitions into another elite trait of his, which is availability. Here are his games played every season of his career:

2014: 85

2015: 97

2016: 159

2017: 156

2018: 143

2019: 159

2020: 57 (60-game season)

2021: 145

2022: 150

2023: 162

2024: 158

2025: 159

A guy who is good in the locker room, good at the plate, reliable, and a fan favorite is incredible for $15 million. There is a famous saying that there’s no such thing as a bad one-year deal. If Suárez struggles as he did in the second half of 2025, the Reds can simply let him walk or re-sign him at a lower price.

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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