There’s no doubt that Anthony Santander will slot right into the top part of the Toronto Blue Jays lineup come 2025 Opening Day. The Jays signed the former Orioles outfielder to a five-year pact earlier today worth $92.5 million and the club has an option for a sixth additional season. Santander can opt out of his deal after three seasons but the Jays can void that by picking up the sixth year, pushing it to $110 million.
His power bat will add a dimension that the team was sorely missing all of last season. His whopping 44 home runs would have been the most by an individual on the 2024 Jays, eclipsing Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s total of 30. His switch-hitting bat also opens more flexibility in lineup construction, making it easier to avoid having too many right or left-handed bats on a given day.
With that said, expect Santander to get pencilled in the heart of the order either in front or behind Guerrero Jr. to add run-scoring ability and to make pitchers less likely to walk one or the other. if I had to guess, it would be behind Guerrero instead of in front. There are a few different ways to play this and the lineup could change as the season wears on but to start the campaign, it will likely be Guerrero then Santander in the three/four spot.
Anthony Santander has made sense for the #BlueJays all along, so this is tidy business.
A simple, solid move which immediately makes their lineup better. I think Vladdy will like it.
With one big bat signed, this is where the org. needs to be aggressive and keep the pedal down.
— Keegan Matheson (@KeeganMatheson) January 20, 2025
The real question arises with the fielding situation. Santander will almost certainly get reps as the designated hitter, but he’ll have to play a good chunk of games in the outfield if the Jays want to continue spreading DH at-bats around to players like Guerrero Jr. and George Springer.
DRS (defensive runs saved) is one of the most common stats to measure a fielder’s performance. It’s by no means the be-all-end-all, but it can provide a decent first glance at a fielder’s performance. Last season marked a career-low DRS of -7 for Santander at his native position of right field – where he has logged over 4000 innings dating back to 2017. Fielding metrics can vary, as Santander’s Total Zone score for 2024 in right field was ten, where zero is average.
Lifetime, it would be fair to say that Santander is a slightly above-average fielder, with both his Total Zone score and DRS in the positives. He’d be competing with Springer for the spot, who has similar defensive metrics as a right fielder.
The $90M or so for Anthony Santander is the third largest free-agent contract in Blue Jays history.
1. George Springer 6/150
2. Kevin Gausman 5/110
3. Anthony Santander 5/90ish— Josh Goldberg (@JGoldberg12) January 20, 2025
The problem is, it wouldn’t be easy to simply slide Springer over to left field – he’s played just one career game there back in 2018. Also, despite his poor hitting in 2024, it wouldn’t make sense to not play him as he’s still on a large contract.
With Gold Glover Daulton Varsho holding down centre field (once he is healthy) the other most likely scenario would be to move Santander to left.
There, he’d be replacing the combination of Joey Loperfido and Davis Schneider. The combo of the two hit below the Mendoza Line last season and while both can have bouts of power at times, they are inconsistent amongst the small sample size.
Unfortunately, Santander has been far worse playing left field than he has right field throughout his career. In only 90 games there, he’s put up a well below-average negative seven total zone score and negative nine DRS.
For the Jays though, there’s not really a choice to be had here. Santander has to be in the lineup no matter where that may be. After all, worrying too much about defence is what caused the team to have such a lethargic offence last season. They could make him the full-time DH while slotting him in the corner outfield spots from time to time but that’s yet to be determined – especially if the Jays continue to add power bats before Spring Training rolls around.
Only José Ramírez (179) & Marcus Semien (207) have pulled more FBs than Anthony Santander (172) since '22.
Paired with his slightly above-average quality of contact metrics, odds are he'll likely continue to outperform his expected results. #BlueJayspic.twitter.com/iLVfdbkOgr
— Thomas Hall (@Hall_Thomas_) January 20, 2025
Finding that fine line between offence and defence will forever be a challenge for all teams, but crossing too far onto the defence side has proven to be a nightmare for the Jays and their fans alike.
The signing of Santander is a step back towards that happy middle ground. No matter where he plays in the field – whether that be right field, left field, DH, or even first base for a few days – his power bat has to be there to synergize with Guerrero Jr.
A hit to the defence of the Gold Glove Team Jays does not matter. Defence may win ball games, but I’d argue it’s even harder to win if you can’t score – the 2024 playoffs showed everyone that home runs can easily win your team ball games.
Expect to see some shuffling of the Jays’ defence, but one thing should be for certain: Santander will be playing as much as he can to get his power bat into the lineup with regularity.
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