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Jack Leiter Is Finally Delivering on the Hype
Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

When the Pittsburgh Pirates selected catcher Henry Davis with the first overall selection in the 2021 MLB Draft, the Texas Rangers didn’t hesitate with their pick. They pounced on the opportunity to take Jack Leiter as the second overall pick and gave him the highest signing bonus in that year’s class at $7.9 million.

Expectations for Leiter to be an MLB ace have been sky high since he first donned a Rangers jersey and cap at his introductory press conference. And why not?

He dominated in 2021 at Vanderbilt, pitching 110 innings and striking out 179 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.845 WHIP. The SEC isn’t the minor leagues, but it is top-tier competition.

Leiter also has the pedigree of a winner. His dad, Al Leiter, had an extremely successful 19-year MLB career.

When they drafted Leiter, the Rangers were desperate for quality pitching. Not only quality pitching, but homegrown quality pitching.

So, it is easy to see why the hype around Leiter to come in and resurrect an organization that was in the middle of a several-season-long losing streak and had never been known for overall great pitching was soaring.

But pitching is hard. And pitching at the professional level can be extremely difficult. Simply relying on his stuff wasn’t going to be enough for Leiter to consistently get pro hitters out.

His journey so far has not been an abnormal one, but still, it’s one that has frustrated fans and pundits at times along the way.

A Rocky Development Path

The hype train was in full force when Leiter headed up to Frisco in 2022 to open his career in Double-A. In hindsight, that might not have been the best place for Leiter to get his feet wet, but at the time, it seemed like a solid choice.

It is located close to Arlington, and fans would be able to get a glimpse of the next ace of the Rangers. Only he didn’t look like an ace.

Sure, he had some flashes of greatness. But overall, that first season was a real struggle. Leiter posted a 5.54 ERA across 92.2 innings pitched, though he did have 109 strikeouts.

The 2023 season was more of the same, with the majority of his time coming at Frisco once again. But then there seemed to be some positive results in 2024.

Leiter would spend the bulk of his time with Triple-A Round Rock, but would also get into nine games with the big club.

His first three appearances with the Rangers came in the form of spot starts in April and May that year. They did not go well at all. Leiter struggled with throwing strikes, and then, when he did throw strikes, he struggled with his command within the zone.

But Leiter remained strong mentally and would go back to Round Rock to work on that command for the next several months.

On August 15 of last year, I happened to be in Round Rock for one of Leiter’s starts. He only went 3.2 innings, but struck out 11 batters. Yes, all of the outs he recorded came via the strikeout.

The outing grabbed the attention of people across the game, including our own Aram Leighton, as you can see above.

It also got the attention of the Rangers front office. So when the team had played itself out of playoff contention come late August, it was time to get the young arm some consistent reps at the big league level.

In his last six games with the Rangers in 2024, Leiter pitched 26.1 innings with a 6.15 ERA and 24 strikeouts. Overall for 2024, Leiter’s big league ERA was 8.83.

Even with his better performances later in the season, the Leiter hype train was still off the tracks.

Forced Into the Rangers’ Rotation

The good news is that Leiter didn’t listen to or care about any of the murmurings surrounding him. He continued to develop his craft and get ready for what 2025 might hold.

It started with a strong showing in spring training. Leiter pitched in six games, half as a starter and half out of the bullpen.

He threw 20.2 innings during the spring with 21 strikeouts and a 3.48 ERA. It was looking like the youngster had pitched his way onto the Opening Day roster. Not as a starter, but as a long reliever.

The rotation was set with Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi, Tyler Mahle, Jon Gray, and Cody Bradford. But late in the spring, both Gray and Bradford went down with serious injuries, and it opened up two spots in the rotation.

Leiter was one of the obvious internal choices to fill a vacant rotation spot. As his rookie campaign kicked off, Leiter found himself not only on the roster but in a big league rotation.

Still, there were no guarantees he would stay there very long. If he had struggled early, the club would have looked elsewhere for an arm to take his spot.

Leiter Has Been Dealing

It did get a little dicey for Leiter. After dominating in his first two outings of the season, Leiter would have to go on the IL with a blister on his throwing hand.

Once he came back at the end of April, his performances were not quite as shiny. Over his next 14 games (from the end of April through the All-Star break), Leiter pitched to a 4.86 ERA.

Not the worst, but not what was expected out of the highly touted flame thrower.

But since the All-Star break, Leiter has been pitching terrifically.

The velocity has always been there, but the command and secondary pitches have taken longer to develop. Over Leiter’s last 10 starts, he has thrown 52 innings with 61 strikeouts and a 2.94 ERA.

Walks have still been an issue at times, but he has learned to navigate around them better when they do occur. Leiter has also reduced his home runs allowed over the second half of the season.

Before the All-Star break, Leiter had given up 10 bombs, but he has only allowed four since.

The Rangers Might Have Themselves a Future Ace

According to MLB.com’s glossary, “an ace typically refers to a team’s No. 1 pitcher, though it can also be used to describe an elite pitcher in general. Therefore, a team with multiple elite pitchers is said to have more than one ace.”

Barring injuries, the Rangers already have two aces on their team for next year in deGrom and Eovaldi. But who is to say that they can’t have trip aces and not just a pair?

Leiter has the high-velocity fastball and nasty slider that many of today’s aces deploy. With his four-seamer averaging 97.3 mph this season, there is plenty of gas in the tank.

The pitch mix has been much better in 2025, and that should help Leiter push himself further into the elite pitching stratosphere moving forward.

Leiter’s changup is becoming more and more of a weapon. It sits between 90-91 mph and is devastating to lefties. It has become his third most-used pitch this year, coming in at a 16% use rate.

With the physical skill set along with the mental toughness, there is little doubt that Leiter will continue to shine.

One thing to remember is that Leiter is only 25 years old. Yes, there were expectations that he would dominate only a year or two out of college, but it has taken closer to four.

DeGrom didn’t make his MLB debut until he was nearly 26 years old. Eovaldi didn’t truly come into his own until his late twenties and even more so in his thirties.

The point is that even though Leiter didn’t come out and have the Paul Skenes “dominate from the very beginning” trajectory to his career, it doesn’t mean that he isn’t still going to be an ace for the Rangers.

Texas should be excited for what they have in Leiter. And beyond that, baseball fans in general should be pumped about getting to watch him shove throughout the end of this year.

As he takes that momentum into next season, it will be fun to see how good Jack Leiter can really be.

This article first appeared on Just Baseball and was syndicated with permission.

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