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Let's make some cheddar on Dinger Tuesday
Milwaukee's Christian Yelich. (Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports)

Let's make some cheddar on Dinger Tuesday

Dinger Tuesday, it's great to see you again! Now, we hardly need a promotion to bet on home runs, but it doesn't hurt. Today's forecast looks absolutely incredible for the long ball, with four games projected to see an increase of HRs by at least 20 percent. We'll offer up a few of our favorite trends to give you all some options but would be remiss to not highlight our favorites for each. 

Note: home runs look to be favorable in Colorado tonight for the Rockies-Astros game, but at the time of writing, starters were not confirmed, and thus no props were released.

Dinger trends for Tuesday on the diamond

Milwaukee vs. Philadelphia

Ballpark Pal suggests a 27% boost is coming to homers thanks to the Philly heat and wind gusts. 

Kyle Schwarber

  • HR in three straight games
  • Hitting .417 vs. Julio Teheran

Bryce Harper

  • One HR in the last two games
  • Nine HRs vs. Teheran in 60 PA

Christian Yelich

  • HR in two straight games
  • 1 HR vs. Aaron Nola in 31 PA, slugging .567 vs. Nola
  • Hits RHP for power far better

Our favorite: Christian Yelich (+470 FanDuel)

San Francisco vs. Cincinnati

Ballpark Pal projects this game to see a 36% boost to home runs thanks to the direction of the wind and Cincinnati heat.

Mike Yastrzemski

  • Homered two games ago
  • 1 HR in 9 PA vs. Luke Weaver
  • Hits RHP for power better

Joey Votto

  • Four HRs in the last 10 games
  • .375 ISO vs. RHP, six of his seven HRs have come off righties
  • Double in two PA vs. Anthony DeSclafani

Our favorite: Mike Yastrzemski (+320 FD)

Chicago White Sox vs. NY Mets

The New York wind is aiding a 20% boost to homers in this game between the Mets and White Sox. 

Jake Burger

  • HR in two straight games
  • 14 of his 21 HRs have come against RHP
  • HR in three of his last four road games

Francisco Alvarez

  • Five HRs in the last 10 games
  • .333 ISO and 15 HRs against RHP

Brandon Nimmo

  • Five HRs in the last 10 home games
  • .217 ISO and all 14 of his HRs against RHP

Our favorite: Francisco Alvarez (+500 DraftKings best price, +430 FD for the promo)


In the news ...

Scottie Scheffler the favorite for the Open Championship this week — Rory McIlroy was the favorite for this week's Open Championship, the final major of the season, but after winning last weekend, the odds have shifted. The new favorite would be World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who has yet to win a major this year. Scheffler has been shockingly consistent, finishing inside the top five in seven straight starts, with his worst finish being T-12 back in February. Scheffler heads into the weekend at +700 to win the Open.

Saquon Barkley and Giants don't get on same page — Yesterday was the deadline for franchise-tagged players to sign a long-term extension with their team, and the day came and went without a deal between star RB Saquon Barkley and the New York Giants. So, what's next? Well, Barkley has no contract and technically is not even a member of the team. He's likely in no rush to sign the franchise tag and join his team this summer, so expect this to linger. Barkley's only leverage may be missing regular-season games, and the Giants have quite the gauntlet to start the year, with games against the Cowboys, Niners, Seahawks, Dolphins and Bills all in the first six weeks. New York to finish with under 7.5 wins is currently -120.

Connor Bedard signs his contract with Blackhawks — The best NHL prospect since Connor McDavid finally turned 18, and thus was eligible to sign his first NHL contract, which he did, agreeing to a three-year deal with Chicago. How quickly can Bedard return the Blackhawks to relevance? His season-long goals line is set at 30.5, and Chicago is +13000 to win the Central Division. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders. 

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