Mets vs. Marlins preview: Series hinges on the bullpens

The key to the Mets’ success in this series will hinge on two things: how their bullpen holds up and, perhaps more importantly, how quickly they can get into the Marlins’ bullpen.

The Mets’ bullpen, which struggled for much of the second half, has quietly begun to find its form. In their recent series against the Chicago Cubs, high-leverage relievers Edwin Díaz, Tyler Rogers, Brooks Raley, Ryan Helsley, and Ryne Stanek combined for 10 scoreless innings, allowing just three walks, four hits, and striking out 12.

Over their last nine games, dating back to September 15, New York's bullpen has posted a 1.71 ERA in 47.1 innings pitched. While the team has leaned heavily on its relievers due to a lack of length from the starting rotation, every arm in the bullpen will need to perform in Miami.

The second key for New York is getting into the Marlins’ bullpen as quickly as possible. Miami’s bullpen was one of the team’s biggest strengths for much of the season, keeping them in playoff contention longer than expected. However, it has completely fallen apart in the second half.

Since the All-Star break, the Marlins’ relievers rank dead last in MLB, posting a 4.74 ERA, 5.07 xERA, 5.04 FIP, and a -1.1 WAR. With the Mets facing three tough starters this weekend, they’ll need to work deep counts and force their way into the Marlins’ bullpen.

Meanwhile, the Mets will be keeping an eye on the rest of the league, as the two teams chasing them — the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks — face off against the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, respectively. Despite the matchups around them, the Mets control their own destiny. Their focus is simple: win, and everything else will take care of itself.

First pitch in Miami is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EST, with the Mets relying on rookie Brandon Sproat as they face off against former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcántara.