MLB best bets: Orioles vs. Guardians odds, pick, predictions for Thu. 8/1

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds

Thursday, Aug. 1, 6:40 p.m. ET, MASN

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Baltimore Orioles

Rogers has a 4.53 ERA and xERA of 4.85. His Average Exit Velocity is 90.5 MPH with a Hard-Hit Rate in the 14th percentile. The southpaw is also struggling with command, walking 9.7% of batters with an 18% strikeout rate. He took a step back from 2023 — where he had limited outings — so he could turn it around in Baltimore.

The Orioles are crushing the ball. Jordan Westburg may have landed on the Injured List, but Jackson Holliday burst back onto the scene, to even out the lineup. In July off of righties, the O’s had a 116 wRC+, 9.1% walk rate, and 21.6% strikeout rate.

They lost Austin Hays but added Cristian Pache in return. Overall, the O’s have six bats who were above a .350 xwOBA in July off of righties, so Lively will have to deal with a potent lineup.

The O’s bullpen had an upgrade in that Hays for Pache trade to the bullpen with Seranthony Domínguez being a nice addition. The Orioles held a 3.77 xFIP in relief in July with a 7.1% walk rate and strikeout rate over 25%. They have several options to throw behind Rogers, so if he has to exit early, they have middle relief depth.

Orioles vs. Guardians

Betting Pick & Prediction

That said, the Guardians haven't hit well lately. Although Rogers has struggled to find the strike zone, the Orioles bullpen and offense can pick him up. Look for the Orioles to continue their hot hitting and win this one on the road.

They'll miss Westburg, but getting the number-one overall prospect back in the lineup in Holliday is a nice consolation prize. Take the Orioles here to win this one from -110 to -130. Who knows? Rogers could end up continuing to get favorable results with this type of offense behind him.

Pick: Orioles ML -110 / Play to -130