MLB Home Run Predictions Today: HR Prop Bets for Sunday, May 3

Sunday's “See-Ya Selections” are locked in, and this slate is loaded with hitters in prime spots to go deep. With favorable splits and pitchers giving up loud contact, the conditions are right for a big-time power surge.

We have Manny Machado heating up at the plate against a lefty who’s been getting crushed by right-handed power, Ryan O'Hearn in a perfect split matchup against a fly-ball arm vulnerable to lefties, and Yandy Diaz (oblique, day-to-day) bringing a hot bat into a matchup he’s already handled against a struggling pitcher.

If you’re hunting homers, these are prime bats to go deep.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

Best Home Run Props Today

Manny Machado Home Run Bet (+364)

Signs of life are showing for Machado, who’s heating up after a slow start. He’s batting .333 over the last week with two home runs and has been strong vs. lefties. That sets up well against Anthony Kay, who owns a 6.12 ERA and has struggled with right-handed bats. Opponents from that side are hitting .325, and all four home runs he’s allowed have come against righties, making this a favorable power spot.

Ryan O'Hearn Home Run Bet (+700)

Chase Burns has been solid early, but the profile creates some risk against power bats. He’s a fly-ball arm with a 40.7% hard-hit rate, and lefties have done the most damage, accounting for four of the five home runs he’s allowed. That lines up well for O'Hearn, who thrives in this split. O’Hearn is hitting .317 vs. right-handers with four of his five home runs coming in those matchups. This is a spot where his power can show up.

Yandy Diaz Home Run Bet(+700)

Prior to leaving Friday as a precaution due to oblique tightness after hitting a homer, Diaz was hitting .304 with a .565 slugging over the last week. He hopes to play after resting on Saturday. He has been excellent vs. right-handers, batting .333 with three home runs and is 3-for-4 in this matchup. Tyler Mahle has struggled early, posting a 5.87 ERA and allowing five of his six home runs to righties, who are hitting .357 against him. This sets up well for Diaz’s power to show up, but be sure to check on his status prior to making any wagers.

2026 MLB HR Leaders

• 1B Munetaka Murakami, Chicago White Sox (13)
• RF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (12)
• DH Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (12)
• LF Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (11)
• 1B Ben Rice, New York Yankees (11)