MLB's Biggest 2025 Home Hitting Splits

One-third of the way through the marathon MLB season, it's time for a quick study on who's more likely to succeed when sleeping in their own bed.

Without the space or bandwidth to do an all-out research paper, I just needed a single stat to describe an offense. My nerd-brain went to xwOBA first (shocker), then thought maybe OPS was the answer. So of course I tested the two for correlation and found that r=.823 — significantly weaker than I expected. Instead of choosing, I wound up adding them together and honestly, after seeing the top six overall in order (LAD, NYY, CHC, ARI, NYM, PHI) it left me satisfied.

Roughly sixty games in the regular season, I was curious which offenses performed best at home compared to on the road.

BEST HOME OFFENSES; RAW TOTAL, xwOBA + OPS:

1. Dodgers — 1.243
2. Yankees — 1.161
3. D-backs — 1.139
4. Blue Jays — 1.135
5. Mets — 1.115
6. Cardinals — 1.112
7. Red Sox — 1.108
8. Phillies — 1.086
9. Athletics — 1.080
10. Astros — 1.077
11. Cubs — 1.062
12. Orioles — 1.059
13. Nationals — 1.047
14. Tigers — 1.045
15. Braves — 1.041
16. Giants — 1.041
17. Rays — 1.034
18. Reds — 1.030
19. Rockies — 1.026
20. Padres — 1.024
21. Marlins — 1.005
22. Twins — 1.004
23. Mariners — 0.990
24. Pirates — 0.989
25. White Sox — 0.966
26. Guardians — 0.956
27. Royals — 0.955
28. Rangers — 0.954
29. Angels — 0.947
30. Brewers — 0.933

BEST RELATIVE HOME OFFENSES; HOME - AWAY, xwOBA + OPS:

1. Rockies — 0.177
2. Blue Jays — 0.175
3. Dodgers — 0.156
4. Cardinals — 0.118
5. Astros — 0.109
6. Giants — 0.097
7. Orioles — 0.091
8. Red Sox — 0.078
9. Pirates — 0.071
10. Mets — 0.059
11. Athletics — 0.048
12. White Sox — 0.046
13. Rays — 0.043
14. D-backs — 0.042
15. Padres — 0.034
16. Phillies — 0.020
17. Braves — 0.019
18. Reds — 0.016
19. Nationals — 0.012
20. Rangers — 0.003
21. Yankees — -0.001
22. Twins — -0.004
23. Marlins — -0.021
24. Royals — -0.030
25. Tigers — -0.031
26. Guardians — -0.049
27. Brewers — -0.090
28. Angels — -0.102
29. Mariners — -0.112
30. Cubs — -0.136