
The number of success stories to come through the Brewers’ pitching lab in recent years is quite remarkable.
Year after year, the Milwaukee Brewers target arms with untapped potential or take on reclamation projects in an effort to help pitchers realize their true ability. Last year, Quinn Priester, whom the Brewers acquired from the Boston Red Sox at the onset of the 2025 season, was the perfect example of this.
This year, Kyle Harrison has the makings of being Milwaukee’s next success story. After acquiring the 24-year-old southpaw from the Red Sox this offseason, Harrison has emerged as an essential member of Milwaukee’s rotation after his first few turns through.
A highly-touted prospect coming through the Giants’ system, Harrison has bounced around to a couple of organizations after failing to settle in at the big-league level to this point. But his most recent clubhouse change may have unlocked a level that his previous organizations could not achieve.
While it’s too soon to draw any sweeping conclusions, it appears the Brewers’ pitching development has done it again.
Harrison’s standing as a top prospect peaked back in 2023, when he cracked the top 20 on some top 100 prospect rankings across the industry and became the top left-handed pitching prospect in the game.
Upon his first taste of big-league action, Harrison tossed to a low-4.00s ERA in seven starts with the Giants in 2023. The following year was less than stellar, as his ERA saw a bump up to 4.56 across 124.1 innings as a 22-year-old.
2025 is where things got interesting for Harrison. He got off to a suboptimal start that year, posting another 4.56 ERA across his first 23.2 innings and eight appearances (four starts). Command remained a growing concern, and he had yet to take the step forward that the Giants were envisioning.
He was then traded to the Boston Red Sox as the headliner for Rafael Devers on June 15, 2025. From there, Harrison spent the following three months with Triple-A Worcester before earning a late-season call-up by the Red Sox. Harrison made three September appearances with Boston (two starts) to the tune of a 3.00 ERA across 12 innings.
Then, in what was deemed a rather surprising move for both parties back in February, Boston moved Harrison to Milwaukee in exchange for infielders Caleb Durbin, Andruw Monasterio, and Anthony Seigler. Through the first month of the 2026 season, that trade is working out in the Brewers’ favor.
The Brewers are widely viewed as one of the best organizations in baseball in terms of pitching development and optimizing their arm talent. The trade they made, parting ways with their presumed starting third baseman in Durbin to acquire an MLB-ready project, told the rest of the industry everything it needed to know about the club’s feelings on Harrison.
This was a pitcher with plenty of arm talent and prospect pedigree who has yet to get a real shot to reach his potential in the majors. Well, Milwaukee has given him that opportunity from the get-go this season, and thus far, he has passed the test with flying colors.
The Brewers are notorious for developing arsenals, primary leaning into several variations of fastballs. Sticking with Priester as an example, the Brewers had him shelve his four-seam last season — a pitch that, frankly, wasn’t very good — and had him up his sinker and cutter usage to keep hitters off balance.
Priester is far from the only example of this blueprint; the foundation of Milwaukee’s pitching development is built upon this philosophy of developing arms.
But their approach with Harrison has been slightly different.
Harrison’s fastball has always been his bread and butter. The highest-graded pitch of his arsenal as a prospect, his success always hinged on the performance of his four-seam. But instead of making Harrison into a pitcher that he isn’t, they’ve embraced his outlier fastball characteristics in order to put him in the best position to succeed.
The Brewers actually have had Harrison completely shelve his cutter entirely this season. Instead, they have worked on developing his changeup while enhancing his slurve to help him attack both righties and lefties more efficiently. The early results have been extremely encouraging.
Starting with his arm slot, the Brewers have moved Harrison’s arm slot up from 27° last season to 33° this year. It’s the highest his arm slot has been in his career and his highest since it sat at 30° as a rookie back in 2023.
As a result, Harrison is getting more vert on his four-seam fastball than he ever has while maintaining the incredible arm-side run that makes it such a good offering.
The pitch is currently getting 15 inches of induced vertical break, over two and a half inches more than in 2025, to go with a whopping 13 inches of arm-side movement. It’s just over an inch less of run when compared to a season ago, but that’s still strong movement that is paired with a noticeable uptick in IBV. At a mid-90’s velocity (94.6 mph), the pitch continues to be a serious weapon for Harrison.
Among the 22 qualified arms who generate at least 13 inches of arm-side run with their four-seamer, Harrison is one of four names who also generate 15 or more inches of IBV on the pitch. Grading out with a Stuff+ score — a model that grades the physical characteristics of a pitch, such as release point, velocity, movement, and spin — of 106, that matches the fastball grades of aces such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Jacob deGrom, and Chris Sale.
Kyle Harrison, K'ing the Side in the 1st. pic.twitter.com/cArewexjWQ
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 26, 2026
Overall, opponents are hitting .250 against it with a .357 slugging percentage, but he’s upped his swing-and-miss on the pitch from 26.2% last season to 29.8% this year. On top of inducing more whiff with the pitch, the average exit velocity against Harrison’s four-seam has dropped from 92.3 mph a season ago to 88.3 mph this season.
The improvements to his arsenal extend beyond just his fastball, however. His slurve has seen a noticeable uptick in results thus far, and his changeup has become a legitimate weapon against right-handed batters.
Starting with his slurve, which is his second-most-used pitch at 26.4%, it’s an offering that’s generating an opponent average of just .100 this season with an xwOBA of .184. It’s inevitably a small sample, but the pitch is generating a sub-10% hard-hit rate with an average exit velocity of 82.2 mph.
While he throws it to both righties and lefties, Harrison pairs it well with his four-seam as his primary way to attack left-handed batters. When compared to last season, the slurve is getting slightly more vertical drop and glove-side movement, and that slight increase in both vertical and horizontal movement has led to improved results in the early goings.
Harrison threw the slurve 161 times in the big leagues last season, and the pitch yielded a Run Value of -5. Among pitchers who threw at least 10 slurves last season, that was tied for the worst mark in all of MLB.
This year, however, Harrison has thrown the slurve 137 times, and the pitch has a +3 Run Value. That leads MLB among all pitchers who have thrown at least one slurve this season.
Kyle Harrison, Filthy 81mph Slurve. pic.twitter.com/Yjs8leXMfb
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 2, 2026
But the real standout adjustment in his arsenal has been his changeup. Harrison stole early spring training headlines when he debuted his new-look changeup that stood out among “Stuff” models across the industry. The 24-year-old has carried that success into the regular season.
Let’s start with what’s changed. When compared to a season ago, Harrison has lost about an inch and a half of arm-side movement, but he added nearly four inches of vertical drop to the pitch. In turn, Harrison now generates nearly 18 inches of vertical separation between his four-seam and his changeup.
For comparison, Harrison was getting roughly 11 inches of vertical separation between the two pitches a season ago. Pair that improvement with over eight mph of velocity separation between his changeup and four-seam, and all of a sudden hitters have to prepare that much more for what’s coming at them.
The early surface-level results for the changeup haven’t been world-breaking, but as the sample size grows, this is a pitch that should evolve as a serious weapon for Harrison. As a result of generating more vertical drop on the pitch, the average launch angle against his changeup currently sits at -2 degrees. For reference, in 2025, that mark sat at 11 degrees.
Again — we are working with small samples just over a month into the season — but Harrison is actually performing better against right-handed batters this season than he is against lefties. Righties are batting just .185 against him this season with a 32.6% strikeout rate, and much of that success can likely be attributed to his improved changeup — a pitch he exclusively throws to righties.
Harrison isn’t just capitalizing on fortunate batted-ball luck through one month of the season. These are real, tangible adjustments he’s making that’s led to impressive results, and it could be a sign that his early-season success is here to stay.
Harrison looks like a much more confident pitcher on the mound at the moment, and that was clear in one of his most recent outings where he struck out 12 Pirates hitters across six innings scoreless, one-hit ball.
All in all, he’s doing a lot of things well on the mound. He’s striking out batters at a near-30% mark, placing him near the top 10% of MLB, he’s walking batters at a 7.5% clip, and he’s been one of the best in baseball at limiting damaging contact, as his hard-hit rate of 30.1% sits in the 89th percentile of MLB.
Harrison’s uptick in chase rate –which currently sits at 33.9%, a career high by over three percent — is likely a direct result from making opponents more uncomfortable in the batter’s box. Even when hitters do chase, they’re making contact just 49.4% of the time, a mark that sits in the top 20 in all of MLB (min. 25 IP).
Of course, hitters will adjust to the way Harrison is attacking them, and the time will come where Harrison will need to respond back. But on top of ranking 10th in the National League in ERA, he is also 13th in FIP, 10th in xFIP, and 12th in SIERA just behind Shohei Ohtani and Chris Sale.
While those peripheral metrics are not predictive of future success, it paints a picture that what Harrison is deploying through his first six starts of the season has some merit. He’s made some real improvements to his arsenal and overall approach on the mound, he looks comfortable and is attacking hitters, and while it may be early, the success he’s seen thus far feels like more than just a hot start.
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