Well, well, well. Look who’s knocking on the playoff door while leaving the New York Mets crying into their $322.6 million payroll receipts.
The Cincinnati Reds just pulled off something beautiful on Friday night—beating Milwaukee 3-1 while watching the Mets get absolutely shellacked by Miami, 6-2. And just like that, these two teams are deadlocked at 82-78 for that final National League wild card spot. But here’s the kicker: Cincinnati owns the season series against New York, which means they’re sitting pretty with the tiebreaker advantage. Who will clinch the final spot?
Let’s be honest—nobody saw this coming. The Reds haven’t been more than seven games above .500 all season. They have gone 15-18 over their last 33 games. Yet somehow, they’re about to potentially sneak into October while the Mets, who were sitting on top of the baseball world back in June, are watching their season crumble faster than a cheap umbrella in a thunderstorm.
This Cincinnati team has been the definition of gritty all year. They’re not flashy, they’re not loaded with All-Stars, but they’ve got something the Mets apparently lost somewhere between their hot start and reality check: heart.
Speaking of the Mets, remember when they had the best record in baseball on June 12 at 45-24? Those were the days, huh? Since then, they’ve gone a pathetic 37-54. That’s not a slump—that’s a full-scale organizational meltdown.
Carlos Mendoza keeps talking about how “we’ve put ourselves in this position,” and he’s absolutely right. When you’re spending more on payroll than some small countries’ GDP and you can’t even hold onto a playoff spot, that’s on you, not the baseball gods.
Here’s what makes this even more interesting: while the Mets are panicking, the Reds have guys who’ve been there before. Gavin Lux has two World Series rings from his Dodgers days, and Manager Terry Francona? The guy’s got championship pedigree that money can’t buy.
Francona came back after a year away from the game due to health issues, and now he’s got these Reds believing they can do something special. At 66 years old, he’s admitting he’s “nervous as hell,” but that is the kind of honest emotion you want from a manager in this situation.
The irony here is delicious. The Reds haven’t won a series against Milwaukee in forever—13 straight series losses. But now, in the most important weekend of their season, they need to beat their recent nemesis to punch their playoff ticket.
Reliever Tony Santillan put it perfectly: “Season on the line, beat them, win against them, and advance to the postseason by beating them. I feel like it’s been a while.”
If the Reds pull this off, they will be making their first playoff appearance in a non-pandemic season since 2013. Think about that for a second—most of these guys have never experienced real playoff baseball at the major league level.
But sometimes that’s exactly what you need. No pressure, no expectations, just pure baseball joy. Meanwhile, the Mets are carrying the weight of that massive payroll and all the expectations that come with it.
The scenarios are simple enough: Cincinnati can clinch with one more win this weekend, or if the Mets lose once more. For New York, they need to win out and hope the Reds stumble.
This weekend in Milwaukee isn’t just about two teams fighting for a playoff spot—it’s about proving that sometimes the scrappy underdog with the right manager and a little bit of magic can outduel the big-spending franchise that thought they could buy their way to October.
The Reds are three outs away from doing something truly special. And honestly? After watching the Mets blow a golden opportunity over the past few months, Cincinnati deserves this more than their expensive counterparts from Queens. Baseball’s funny that way. Sometimes the team with the biggest heart beats the team with the biggest wallet.
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