Seattle Mariners third baseman Jorge Polanco runs after hitting a double against the Texas Rangers on May 3 at Globe Life Field. Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

The Seattle Mariners Are Being Given Awesome Odds to Make the Playoffs

Originally posted on Seattle Mariners on SI
By Teren Kowatsch | Last updated May 4, 2025 5:30 PM ET

The Seattle Mariners lost against the Texas Rangers on Sunday afternoon, dropping their overall record to 20-13 on the season. Despite that defeat the M's are still in first place in the American League West.

Seattle is trying to win the division for the first time since 2001, and though we don't know if they'll do that, they are being given excellent odds to make the playoffs in general.

Entering Sunday, FanGraphs had the Mariners have an 82.9% chance to make the playoffs. Those odds are ahead of fellow AL Division leaders the New York Yankees (82.7%) and the Detroit Tigers (82.3%).

Good morning. According to Fangraphs, the Seattle Mariners hold the highest odds of making the playoffs in the American League. pic.twitter.com/SxXL5JZhsc
— Anders Jorstad (@AndersJorstad) May 4, 2025

FanGraphs also had Seattle with the second-best odds to win the World Series in the AL. The website had the Mariners at a 7.6% to win the championship and the Yankees at 9%.

The loss on Sunday snapped Seattle's six-game winning streak, but they have won eight consecutive series overall. They were also first in the majors in walks (139) and walk-rate (11.1%), fourth in home runs (49), eighth in RBIs (159), sixth in runs (167), fourth in OPS (.771), tied for sixth in steals (37) and fifth in slugging (.428) entering Sunday.

The Mariners offense has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball this season. The starting rotation hasn't been its usual dominant self, but is expected to get better as it gets healthier. All-Star pitchers George Kirby and Logan Gilbert are expected to return in the next several weeks from respective injuries. Starting outfielders Victor Robles and Luke Raley could also be back around the All-Star break.

If Seattle keeps at its current pace until those major contributors return, the team might have better playoff and World Series odds than even FanGraphs predicts.

This article first appeared on Seattle Mariners on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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