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These MLB prop parlays bring the value
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

These MLB prop parlays bring the value

We had a nice day of MLB props from yesterday's Bark Bets, splitting the pair of "total outs" pitcher props and hitting the strikeout parlay. With a limited slate on the diamond, our focus today is again on a few prop parlays that seem to offer some nice value.

Hit parlay: Corey Seager and Paul Goldschmidt 1+ hit each (-114 FD)

When building out a hit parlay, we like to start with how batters have fared against the day's starter. Finding a baseline of both a strong average against the opposing pitcher along with a solid amount of plate appearances gives us the confidence to look a batter's way. The cherry on top is recent success. With those factors established, we've found the overlap we're looking for in Corey Seager and Paul Goldschmidt.

In 11 plate appearances against Framber Valdez, Seager is hitting .556 with four singles and a triple. Seager has also been stacking some nice games lately. He has a hit in 23 of his past 30 games, 14 hits in his last 10 and five hits in his past two. We're betting on the hot bat continuing, and with a nice history against Valdez, it feels like the right day to look to Seager.

FanDuel is the only book we've found that gives us the option to bet on Paul Goldschmidt getting a single hit. Every other book has his line set at 1.5, suggesting to us that one hit is a very likely development. The NL MVP favorite has seen German Marquez 40 times since 2017, batting .382 against him. Goldschmidt has a hit in 21 of his past 30 games and has a better hit rate when on the road.

Strikeout parlay: Framber Valdez, Dylan Cease & Nick Lodolo 6+ Ks each (+128 FD)

We've been enjoying the alternate K line market, and we're continuing that today with a 6-6-6 parlay on FD. Valdez, Cease and Lodolo are all facing off against teams that rank inside the top-10 of strikeout rate. For Valdez, he's got the Rangers, which are fanning at the third-highest rate vs. lefties in the past 30 days. The Houston starter has 6+ strikeouts in 12 of his 21 starts, reaching seven when he last faced Texas. He's also exceeded six Ks in four straight home starts.

Cease will see Kansas City, a team he's made two starts against this season. The Royals, which are striking out at the 10th-highest rate against RHP, struck out 9 times in both games against Cease. Only needing six here, we love his previous history against this team. Cease has 6+ Ks in 68% of his starts this year.

Lodolo has been strong at home, going for 6+ Ks in five straight starts in Cincinnati. The Cubs are striking out plenty against LHP (sixth-highest rate in the past month). He'll wrap our day's plays in the last game of the evening.

As always, enjoy the action on the diamond, and good luck with your bets!


In other news ...

Field of Dreams game tonight — A recent tradition that baseball has started revolves around an annual "Field of Dreams" game, played in a cornfield in Iowa. Inspired from the movie, this is the second year the game is taking place. This year's edition will feature the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, and it's a spectacle we want to watch tonight, from the setting to the throwback uniforms. As for the game itself, we were struck by what Cincinnati Red Joey Votto said yesterday around how important this moment is for him. Remembering his father, Votto seems ready to play. It's a romantic sport, and we're following our hearts after reading Votto's comments. We're betting a Votto home run at +340.

It's not too late to take stock of the St. Jude Championship and get your bets in — The first of three FedEx Cup playoff events began this morning, and there's still time to scan the field and figure out the right wager for you. Yardbarker's own Matt Wiesenfeld broke down the entire tournament and served us up some names to watch. Assuming you're reading this early this afternoon, most of Matt's targets haven't yet teed off, including Will Zalatoris at +2500 and Corey Conners at +6000.

Two NFL games for tonight's preseason action — Itching to get in on the immediate action of NFL, instead of the futures that have consumed most of the summer? Tonight may be the night for you; we've got two football games on the schedule. Luckily for us, Jared Shlensky dove into the slate to find us the betting spots that stick out. The Giants and Pats see each other in the preseason quite a bit, and New England has won or lost by no more than three points in four straight games. Expect a close game in this one.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders. 

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