Top 5 MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Exclusive Picks For April 30, 2026

Buxton enters today batting .235 with 7 home runs and 10 RBI through 28 games. While the average looks modest, the power has shown up consistently, and he recently launched a solo homer with a 100.7 mph exit velocity.

He has been much stronger against right-handed pitching this MLB season, hitting .286 vs RHP compared to .179 vs LHP. That split matters in a home run market because Buxton’s power usually plays best when he gets velocity he can pull. With seven homers already and elite bat speed, he remains one swing away from cashing at strong plus money.

4. Oneil Cruz (+369)

Cruz is slashing .256 with 9 home runs, 26 RBI, and 10 stolen bases through 29 games. He’s become one of the most dangerous all-around threats in baseball because he combines elite raw power with speed pressure.

His most notable blast this MLB season came at 119 mph exit velocity, the hardest-hit home run in MLB this year. He’s also produced multiple batted balls over 113 mph this month, proving the power is very real and very consistent. Nine homers before May with this kind of contact quality makes Cruz one of today’s top HR bets.

3. James Wood (+328)

Wood has exploded onto the scene with 10 home runs, a .953 OPS, and 29 walks, entering today tied for the National League lead in home runs. 

His quality of contact is elite. Wood owns a 97.0 mph average exit velocity, tied for best in MLB, plus a 116.3 mph max exit velocity. Those numbers place him among the hardest hitters in the MLB. When a hitter is walking, slugging, and leading the league in exit velocity, the next homer is always live.

2. Elly De La Cruz (+307)

La Cruz already has 10 home runs this season and is heating up fast. Over his last 6 games, he is slashing .400/.464/.880 with 4 home runs. That is elite production in every category.

He’s doing damage against all types of pitchers as well. Against left-handed pitching this MLB season, he owns a massive 1.212 OPS, making bullpen matchups less concerning late in games. With his current form plus elite bat speed, Elly is one of the hottest HR picks on the board.

1. Yordan Alvarez (+310)

Alvarez remains one of baseball’s premier sluggers and enters today in a sneaky bounce-back spot. While he hasn’t homered in four straight games, that’s actually his longest drought of the season. He has crushed this pitching matchup historically, going 5-for-22 (.227) with 5 home runs and a 1.598 OPS against the opposing starter in his career. Few hitters own a matchup like that.

Alvarez also ranks among MLB leaders in multiple advanced hitting categories, and when a hitter this dangerous gets plus money, it demands attention.