Felt like just yesterday sour Mets fans showed signs of buyer's remorse for their newly acquired $765M right fielder. Fast forward to mid-June and there isn't a single hitter you'd rather avoid than New York's Juan Soto. Scary to think he's only 26 and could still have another level coming. What a joy to watch.
Unsurprisingly, it's mostly the usual suspects populating the top spots again today — so it's really the back half of our top-20 grabbing the majority of my attention. Let's be honest, the casual fan's not aware of how profitable Wenceel Perez's base props are right now.
+.280 BA, +.915 OPS, +38% Hard Hit, +10% Barrel, +.365 xwOBA Last 21 Days (min 50 PA)
The MLB season's such a marathon, it's easy to lose the forest for the trees in a massive sea of data. For example, a hitter (or team for that matter) can experience a horrid stretch of several hundred PAs, which will inevitably erode the larger statistical sample. So it's not to say we want to chase the hottest hitters, as much as be aware of already great players who are fully healthy and locking in as we approach summer.
LAGHEZZA'S BEST BETS -- OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES ON DRAFTKINGS:
Let the fantasy quants argue over thousand plate appearance samples before acting. When betting player props or setting daily lineups, it's a game of immediacy — I want to know my player's healthy and confident over everything else. You'll find me backing this list in any plus pitching matchup.
BET SMALL, BET SMART, BET RESPONSIBLY
Thanks for reading!
If you're interested in upping your analytical game and finding out about my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack Betting Data page, don't be shy. Reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!