Where does George Springer’s home run rank among biggest playoff moments in Blue Jays history?

What about Bautista and Encarnación?

Tied 3-3 in the bottom of the seventh in Game 2 of the 2015 ALDS, Bautista’s home run off Sam Dyson ranks seventh in batting cWPA in franchise history. It increased the Blue Jays’ odds of winning the World Series by 8.74 percent.

But for as big of a moment as Encarnación’s three-run home run in the 2016 Wild Card was at the time, it didn’t nearly have as big of an impact on the Blue Jays’ World Series odds, increasing them by just 2.18 percent, coming in at 110th. While it may seem hard to believe given how big it was at the time, huge moments earlier in the postseason don’t have as much of an impact as those later in the postseason.

Other moments from the 2025 ALCS

While Springer’s home run will be looked at eternally as what helped send the Blue Jays to the World Series, there were some other massive moments in the series that swung things — literally and figuratively — in their odds.

In fact, there were four other moments that rank within the top 30 cWPA plays in Blue Jays postseason history:

• 42nd — Game 5, top of the fifth — George Springer’s RBI double to left scoring Addison Barger increased cWPA by 3.82 percent.
• 37th — Game 5, top of the sixth — Ernie Clement’s single to right field scoring Alejandro Kirk, advancing Clement to second, increased cWPA by 4.09 percent.
• 25th — Game 7, bottom of the seventh — Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ground ball single pushing Barger to second, increased cWPA by 5.25 percent. (Andres Gimenez’ bunt to advance actually decreased their cWPA by .89 percent, for those curious)
• 24th — Game 7, bottom of the first — Daulton Varsho’s single to centre field, scoring Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. giving them a 2-1 lead, increased cWPA by 5.38 percent.

Pitcher’s coming up clutch

There’s been plenty of big pitching moments in postseason franchise history, with the top 10 filled with moments from the 1992 World Series. But there are four moments from this year’s ALCS that rank within the top 30:

• 30th — Game 7, top of the second — With two outs, Shane Bieber getting Victor Robles to ground out increased cWPA by 3.08 percent.
• 27th — Game 6, top of the fourth — With one out, Trey Yesavage forcing J.P. Crawford into a 4-6-3 double play increased cWPA by 3.26 percent.
• 17th — Game 7, top of the ninth — With no outs, Jeff Hoffman’s strikeout of Leo Rivas increased cWPA by 3.71 percent.
• 16th — Game 7, top of the second — With one out, Shane Bieber’s strikeout of Rivas increased cWPA by 3.99 percent.
• 11th — Game 6, top of the third — With one out, Yesavage forcing Cal Raleigh into a 3-4-1 double play increased cWPA by 4.43 percent.