As betting becomes more and more ubiquitous, we've witnessed an ever-growing interest in player props, perceived as somewhat softer markets due to access and specialization. When I started polling the audience for what they'd like to see or had trouble scraping, walk props were easily the most popular answer.
I placed all of today's probable starters' 2025 walk and ball rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks in taking free passes.
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LAA Jose Soriano — 11.7% BB, 40.2% Ball, vs. ATH 9.6% BB, Rank 3
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COL Carson Palmquist — 11.5% BB, 40.2% Ball, vs. SF 9.4% BB, Rank 6
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MIA Sandy Alcantara — 11.5% BB, 38.2% Ball, vs. PIT 8.7% BB, Rank 12
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MIL Quinn Priester — 11.1% BB, 40.2% Ball, vs. ATL 9.2% BB, Rank 8
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HOU Lance McCullers Jr. — 10.5% BB, 38.8% Ball, vs. CHW 8.8% BB, Rank 10
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ATL Grant Holmes — 10.4% BB, 37.6% Ball, vs. MIL 9.6% BB, Rank 4
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NYM Griffin Canning — 10.4% BB, 36.8% Ball, vs. WSH 6.3% BB, Rank 29
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CHW Shane Smith — 9.5% BB, 36.6% Ball, vs. HOU 6.4% BB, Rank 28
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TEX Tyler Mahle — 9.2% BB, 35.1% Ball, vs. MIN 8.4% BB, Rank 14
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CIN Andrew Abbott — 8.9% BB, 35.8% Ball, vs. CLE 8.7% BB, Rank 11
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SF Kyle Harrison — 8.9% BB, 31.7% Ball, vs. COL 6.4% BB, Rank 27
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BAL Cade Povich — 8.5% BB, 38.2% Ball, vs. DET 7.6% BB, Rank 21
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KC Noah Cameron — 8.4% BB, 36.8% Ball, vs. NYY 10.8% BB, Rank 1
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MIN Simeon Woods Richardson — 8.4% BB, 38.2% Ball, vs. TEX 7.5% BB, Rank 22
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SD Dylan Cease — 8.2% BB, 36.4% Ball, vs. LAD 9.4% BB, Rank 5
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CLE Slade Cecconi — 7.9% BB, 34.5% Ball, vs. CIN 8.1% BB, Rank 18
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ATH Mitch Spence — 7.9% BB, 31.6% Ball, vs. LAA 7.4% BB, Rank 23
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TB Ryan Pepiot — 7.3% BB, 35.3% Ball, vs. BOS 9.0% BB, Rank 9
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BOS Lucas Giolito — 7.3% BB, 36.2% Ball, vs. TB 7.4% BB, Rank 24
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WSH MacKenzie Gore — 7.2% BB, 36.2% Ball, vs. NYM 9.7% BB, Rank 2
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LAD Bobby Miller — 7.1% BB, 36.9% Ball, vs. SD 7.8% BB, Rank 19
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CHC Colin Rea — 7.0% BB, 36.7% Ball, vs. PHI 8.3% BB, Rank 15
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SEA Logan Evans — 6.9% BB, 35.7% Ball, vs. ARI 8.6% BB, Rank 13
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STL Miles Mikolas — 6.5% BB, 34.0% Ball, vs. TOR 9.3% BB, Rank 7
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DET Sawyer Gipson-Long — 6.3% BB, 28.6% Ball, vs. BAL 7.7% BB, Rank 20
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PIT Mitch Keller — 6.2% BB, 33.1% Ball, vs. MIA 8.2% BB, Rank 17
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ARI Brandon Pfaadt — 5.9% BB, 36.2% Ball, vs. SEA 7.2% BB, Rank 25
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NYY Max Fried — 5.6% BB, 36.1% Ball, vs. KC 5.2% BB, Rank 30
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TOR Chris Bassitt — 5.4% BB, 34.3% Ball, vs. STL 7.0% BB, Rank 26
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PHI Mick Abel — 0.0% BB, 29.6% Ball, vs. CHC 8.2% BB, Rank 16
LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:
From a glance at our simple matrix, I'm expecting at least two walks from Jose Soriano, Carson Palmquist, Quinn Priester, and Grant Holmes.
Three-Leg Walk Parlay on DKSB (+271)
Over 1.5 BBs:
Carson Palmquist, Quinn Priester, and Grant Holmes
(I omitted Soriano, it's not worth adding his O2.5 BB at -425 to the ticket)
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