As betting becomes more and more ubiquitous, we've witnessed an ever-growing interest in player props, perceived as somewhat softer markets due to access and specialization. When I started polling the audience for what they'd like to see or had trouble scraping, walk props were easily the most popular answer.
I placed all of today's probable starters' 2025 walk and ball rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks in taking free passes.
Walk Prop Cheat Sheet
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SD Randy Vasquez — 12.3% BB, 39.7% Ball, vs. LAD 9.7% Rank 3
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TEX Jack Leiter — 11.3% BB, 37.7% Ball, vs. MIN 8.0% Rank 22
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CHW Sean Burke — 11.0% BB, 39.7% Ball, vs. HOU 7.7% Rank 25
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CLE Logan Allen — 10.8% BB, 40.3% Ball, vs. CIN 9.3% Rank 8
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HOU Ryan Gusto — 10.4% BB, 36.4% Ball, vs. CHW 9.3% Rank 7
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NYY Clarke Schmidt — 10.3% BB, 35.2% Ball, vs. KC 6.4% Rank 30
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SF Robbie Ray — 10.1% BB, 35.0% Ball, vs. COL 7.4% Rank 27
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LAD Justin Wrobleski — 9.4% BB, 36.6% Ball, vs. SD 8.4% Rank 19
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MIN David Festa — 9.3% BB, 37.2% Ball, vs. TEX 7.2% Rank 28
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TOR Eric Lauer — 9.1% BB, 35.2% Ball, vs. STL 8.4% Rank 20
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PIT Bailey Falter — 8.7% BB, 36.8% Ball, vs. MIA 7.9% Rank 23
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NYM David Peterson — 8.4% BB, 34.6% Ball, vs. WSH 7.6% Rank 26
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BOS Walker Buehler — 7.9% BB, 36.7% Ball, vs. TB 8.2% Rank 21
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ARI Eduardo Rodriguez — 7.8% BB, 38.6% Ball, vs. SEA 9.3% Rank 9
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PHI Jesus Luzardo — 7.6% BB, 35.6% Ball, vs. CHC 9.3% Rank 6
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KC Kris Bubic — 7.5% BB, 32.6% Ball, vs. NYY 10.4% Rank 1
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MIA Cal Quantrill — 7.3% BB, 37.1% Ball, vs. PIT 9.1% Rank 12
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MIL Chad Patrick — 7.3% BB, 35.5% Ball, vs. ATL 9.0% Rank 13
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LAA Kyle Hendricks — 7.2% BB, 34.4% Ball, vs. ATH 8.5% Rank 17
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CHC Ben Brown — 7.1% BB, 33.2% Ball, vs. PHI 9.2% Rank 11
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DET Casey Mize — 6.9% BB, 33.8% Ball, vs. BAL 7.7% Rank 24
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WSH Jake Irvin — 6.7% BB, 33.6% Ball, vs. NYM 9.5% Rank 4
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ATH JP Sears — 4.8% BB, 34.9% Ball, vs. LAA 6.9% Rank 29
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CIN Nick Lodolo — 4.5% BB, 34.4% Ball, vs. CLE 8.7% Rank 15
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ATL Spencer Schwellenbach — 4.3% BB, 31.6% Ball, vs. MIL 9.4% Rank 5
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COL Kyle Freeland — 4.3% BB, 30.8% Ball, vs. SF 9.3% Rank 10
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SEA Bryan Woo — 3.7% BB, 31.5% Ball, vs. ARI 9.7% Rank 2
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STL Matthew Liberatore — 3.6% BB, 32.5% Ball, vs. TOR 8.7% Rank 16
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TB Zack Littell — 3.4% BB, 31.4% Ball, vs. BOS 8.9% Rank 14
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BAL Zach Eflin — 3.2% BB, 34.1% Ball, vs. DET 8.5% Rank 18
LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:
From a glance at our simple matrix, I'm expecting at least two walks from Randy Vasquez, Logan Allen, and Ryan Gusto.
Three-Leg Walk Parlay on DKSB (+217)
Over 1.5 BBs: Randy Vasquez, Logan Allen, and Ryan Gusto
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