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Wild Things — Walk Prop Data Drop, 6/7
© David Richard-Imagn Images

As betting becomes more and more ubiquitous, we've witnessed an ever-growing interest in player props, perceived as somewhat softer markets due to access and specialization. When I started polling the audience for what they'd like to see or had trouble scraping, walk props were easily the most popular answer.

I placed all of today's probable starters' 2025 walk and ball rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks in taking free passes.

TODAY'S PROBABLE STARTERS - June 7th:

  • CLE Gavin Williams — 13.2% BB, 39.1% Ball, vs. HOU 7.8% Rank 23
  • COL Carson Palmquist — 11.5% BB, 40.2% Ball, vs. NYM 9.7% Rank 2
  • LAA Jack Kochanowicz — 11.3% BB, 37.8% Ball, vs. SEA 9.4% Rank 7
  • BAL Charlie Morton — 10.9% BB, 38.4% Ball, vs. ATH 8.5% Rank 18
  • STL Erick Fedde — 10.2% BB, 38.7% Ball, vs. LAD 9.6% Rank 3
  • WSH Mitchell Parker — 10.0% BB, 34.7% Ball, vs. TEX 7.2% Rank 28
  • MIL Jose Quintana — 9.3% BB, 39.2% Ball, vs. SD 8.3% Rank 20
  • TB Taj Bradley — 9.3% BB, 37.0% Ball, vs. MIA 8.1% Rank 22
  • PIT Andrew Heaney — 8.7% BB, 35.0% Ball, vs. PHI 9.4% Rank 6
  • LAD Yoshinobu Yamamoto — 8.6% BB, 37.4% Ball, vs. STL 8.6% Rank 17
  • NYM Clay Holmes — 8.3% BB, 36.8% Ball, vs. COL 7.3% Rank 27
  • BOS Garrett Crochet — 8.0% BB, 33.6% Ball, vs. NYY 10.5% Rank 1
  • MIA Ryan Weathers — 8.0% BB, 36.4% Ball, vs. TB 8.2% Rank 21
  • SEA Luis Castillo — 8.0% BB, 35.9% Ball, vs. LAA 7.0% Rank 29
  • SD Stephen Kolek — 7.9% BB, 37.0% Ball, vs. MIL 9.2% Rank 11
  • ATL Bryce Elder — 7.8% BB, 37.8% Ball, vs. SF 9.3% Rank 8
  • MIN Chris Paddack — 7.5% BB, 35.2% Ball, vs. TOR 9.0% Rank 14
  • HOU Hunter Brown — 7.3% BB, 37.0% Ball, vs. CLE 8.5% Rank 19
  • CHW Adrian Houser — 7.1% BB, 37.3% Ball, vs. KC 6.4% Rank 30
  • ATH Luis Severino — 6.9% BB, 35.5% Ball, vs. BAL 7.7% Rank 25
  • NYY Ryan Yarbrough — 6.8% BB, 37.1% Ball, vs. BOS 8.7% Rank 15
  • DET Tyler Holton — 6.7% BB, 36.6% Ball, vs. CHC 9.4% Rank 5
  • PHI Ranger Suarez — 6.6% BB, 35.1% Ball, vs. PIT 9.2% Rank 12
  • ARI Ryne Nelson — 6.5% BB, 38.7% Ball, vs. CIN 9.2% Rank 10
  • KC Michael Wacha — 6.4% BB, 34.6% Ball, vs. CHW 9.1% Rank 13
  • TEX Jacob deGrom — 6.3% BB, 33.5% Ball, vs. WSH 7.6% Rank 26
  • CIN Nick Martinez — 5.4% BB, 35.9% Ball, vs. ARI 9.5% Rank 4
  • SF Logan Webb — 5.1% BB, 34.0% Ball, vs. ATL 9.2% Rank 9
  • TOR Kevin Gausman — 5.0% BB, 32.0% Ball, vs. MIN 7.8% Rank 24
  • CHC Jameson Taillon — 4.7% BB, 32.3% Ball, vs. DET 8.7% Rank 16

LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:

Yesterday's suggestions went 6-2 let's go!

From a glance, I'm expecting at least two walks from Carson Palmquist, Jack Kochanowicz, Erick Fedde, and Andrew Heaney. Conversely, I'd be looking for fewer than two base on balls from Nick Martinez, and Logan Webb. Could make for some interesting parlays.

Six-Leg Walk Parlay on DKSB (+1647) 

 Over 1.5 BBs: Carson Palmquist, Jack Kochanowicz, Erick Fedde, and Andrew Heaney

Under 1.5 BBs: Nick Martinez, Logan Webb

Thanks so much reading, it's been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends here at Athlon Sports. If you're interested in upping your analytical game, come check out my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack page. Don't be shy — reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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