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How Dire Is The UFC’s Heavyweight Situation, Really?
May 6, 2023; Newark, New Jersey, USA; Braxton Smith (red gloves) fights Parker Porter (blue gloves) during UFC 288 at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports

Once upon a time, heavyweight was considered the UFC’s premier division. The likes of Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira, Andrei Arlovski, Tim Sylvia, Frank Mir, Brock Lesnar, and even Randy Couture dominated the 2000s. The 2010s introduced fans to Cain Velasquez, Junior Dos Santos, Fabricio Werdum, and Stipe Miocic.

Those were glorious days, but the division has purportedly become a shell of itself in the 2020s. The current champion, Tom Aspinall, is currently recovering from double eye surgery, and Yahoo’s Petesy Carroll recently gave this harrowing update on his condition:

“Nearly four months later, (Aspinall) still can’t track moving targets. His eyes hurt if he sends too many text messages. He gets vertigo if he changes directions suddenly. He misses people’s hands when he tries to shake them. He can no longer do the thing that’s given him an identity since he was a child. Hell, he struggles to do the most basic drills. Sometimes, he struggles to play with his kids. He has to ask people to drive him to most places he goes and ask those same people to bring him home afterward.”

It is not just Aspinall, however. Several other factors have contributed to the rapid decline of the division.

Bad Fighters

It is often said that men who have the size to be heavyweight fighters in MMA tend to gravitate towards other sports. This is, for the most part, true. After all, why will one toil for what amount to peanuts in the regional circuit when he can immediately earn six figures on an NFL team’s practice squad? Barring that, he can join WWE and become a star while taking less debilitating damage, since professional wrestling is as much about coordination as it is about action.

While there have been outliers, like Eryk Anders and the much-maligned Greg Hardy, the trend has largely held true. That has led to some bizarre fighters debuting in the octagon, like Braxton Smith, who was signed despite a complete lack of combat sports experience. He lasted just a single fight, a TKO loss to Parker Porter, before being cut.

Even among those with prior combat sports experience, top kickboxers who could conceivably switch discplines, like Rico Verhoeven and Artem Vakhitov, have been turned off by the dismal pay. They have either decided to stick to kickboxing or switched to boxing, which often promises million-dollar paydays.

This means the promotion must turn to grapplers who usually falter on the feet, like Marcus Almeida, which leads to the next point…

Bad Fights

Speaking of Almeida, he had a rude awakening in his Octagon debut. Matched up against Martin Buday, he was outstruck on the feet early on and eventually dropped a decision despite a strong second round.

That fight was easily very dreary, like many heavyweight fights have allegedly been since Francis Ngannou left. Even the so-called “elites” are not immune, as Jailton Almeida found out recently. “Malhadinho” was cut from the promotion after consecutive dreary decision losses to Alexander Volkov and Rizvan Kuniev.


Dec 3, 2022; Orlando, Florida, USA; Tai Tuivasa (red gloves) after the fight against Sergei Pavlovich (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Amway Center. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

What makes the move interesting, however, is the contrast it provides with another ranked fighter: Tai Tuivasa. “Bam Bam” did not just lose for the sixth straight time against Tallison Teixeira at UFC 325; he purportedly performed awfully while doing so, tiring out almost immediately. Yet despite calls by fans to cut him, he remains on the roster – probably because he is from Australia, a market that the UFC clearly values greatly.

End Of My UFC Heavyweight Rant

Right now, the most promising ranked heavyweight prospect is Valter Walker . Still just 28 years of age, he has come a long way from his Octagon debut, rattling off four straight heel hook wins. His next opponent is Marcin Tybura, who carries a reputation as a “prospect killer” at age 40. The likes of Aspinall and Ante Delija have passed his test, but not Jhonata Diniz and Mick Parkin.

Executives are hoping for only one outcome here: a highlight-reel finish that creates a new, dangerous contender. If he fails, then heavyweight may be in for a dark age…

This article first appeared on Stadium Rant and was syndicated with permission.

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