UFC 321 – Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida: Preview & Betting Tips

The heavyweight division takes the spotlight at UFC 321, as Alexander Volkov faces off against Jailton Almeida in a matchup that could have serious implications for the title picture.

Volkov’s (38-11) recent resurgence has shown he’s far from a fading veteran. Wins over Tai Tuivasa, Alexander Romanov and Sergei Pavlovich highlighted his improved defensive awareness and ability to control the tempo of fights. He enters this bout off of a loss to Ciryl Gane, though it was a highly controversial decision.

Almeida (22-3) has stormed through the heavyweight division with one of the most dominant grappling arsenals in modern UFC history. He’s lost just once in 10 UFC bouts, with 8 of his 9 wins coming by knockout or submission.

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Volkov – Odds 2.70

Record: 38-11

Age: 36

Height: 6ft7

Reach: 80”

Weight: Heavyweight 

Stance: Orthodox 

Jailton Almeida – Odds 1.40

Record: 22-3

Age: 34

Height: 6ft3

Reach: 79”

Weight: Heavyweight

Stance: Orthodox

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida: Analysis

Volkov’s success depends on maintaining range and using his length to nullify Almeida’s entries. The jab, teep kick, and low calf kick will be key weapons to disrupt rhythm and discourage takedown attempts.

However, grappling remains his Achilles’ heel. Fighters with relentless takedown pressure have historically given him trouble, as seen in past losses to Curtis Blaydes and Ciryl Gane. Against Almeida, Volkov must not only defend the takedown but also manage his movement carefully to avoid being trapped against the fence.

The Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, Almeida, thrives on forward pressure, quick level changes, and suffocating top control. Once he gets the fight to the canvas, few heavyweights have the composure or skill to survive his positional dominance.

Almeida’s best route is clear, get inside, secure takedowns early, and make Volkov work off his back. The longer the fight stays standing, the more it swings in Volkov’s favour. Almeida’s challenge will be converting takedowns consistently while managing his gas tank if the fight drags past the second round.

Volkov vs Almeida: Prediction & Betting Tips

Volkov brings veteran poise, range, and technical brilliance, while Almeida offers explosive takedowns and world-class jiu-jitsu. If Almeida imposes his ground game early, expect another dominant grappling display. But if Volkov can keep the fight standing, fans could be treated to a statement knockout from one of the division’s most seasoned strikers.

Either way, this fight is a can’t-miss clash for fans and bettors alike. My pick for this bout is Jailton Almeida to win by submission at odds of 2.63.