UFC Fight Night – Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot: Preview & Betting Tips

The UFC returns with a fascinating lightweight main event as former champion Charles Oliveira looks to bounce back against surging contender Mateusz Gamrot.

Oliveira (35-11, 1 NC) enters this fight in need of a rebound. He appeared to be in outstanding physical and mental shape heading into his recent title shot against Ilia Topuria, but the bout ended abruptly as Topuria’s explosive power proved too much.

Gamrot (25-3, 1 NC), on the other hand, continues to solidify his place among the division’s elite. The Polish standout is a relentless grinder and one of the best pure wrestlers in the lightweight ranks.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Oliveira – Odds 1.91

Record: 35-11, 1 NC

Age: 35

Height: 5ft10

Reach: 74”

Weight: Lightweight 

Stance: Orthodox 

Mateusz Gamrot – Odds 1.83

Record: 25-3, 1 NC

Age: 34

Height: 5ft10

Reach: 70”

Weight: Lightweight 

Stance: Southpaw 

Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot: Analysis

Despite suffering a heavy knockout in his last outing, Oliveira remains one of the most dangerous finishers in UFC history, capable of ending fights on the feet or the mat in an instant.

The Brazilian may have to lean on his excellent BJJ guard in this one because few opponents can stop Gamrot’s takedowns for long, and once Gamrot establishes top position, he’s a master at smothering control and chipping away with ground strikes. His cardio and pace make him a nightmare matchup over five rounds, especially against someone who has been known to fade late in fights.

Oliveira thrives in scrambles and unpredictable exchanges. His submission game is one of the best to ever do it, and his Muay Thai can still be devastating when he’s confident and dictating distance. Meanwhile, the Polish fighter has built his entire game around pressure, cage control, and chain wrestling. He doesn’t need to take big risks, instead, he wins by dictating where the fight takes place.

Oliveira vs Gamrot: Prediction & Betting Tips

“Do Bronx” needs to keep Gamrot honest early with his striking. Kicks, knees and uppercuts can disrupt his level changes, and he must capitalise on any scrambles rather than accepting bottom position when they’re both fresh.

Gamrot should avoid prolonged striking exchanges and instead rely on volume takedowns and control. If he can wear Oliveira down and avoid the submission threat, Gamrot’s pace could dominate the championship rounds on his way to a decision win or potentially even a finish. 

This one is a difficult fight to call and the odds reflect that. But just because of his experience in huge fights, I’m leaning slightly towards the Brazilian, especially in front of his home crowd. Take Charles Oliveira to win by submission at odds of 4.00.