UFC Fight Night – Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott: Preview & Betting Tips

The welterweight matchup between Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott is a compelling main event clash on this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card.

Burns (22-9) has been one of the most consistent and respected fighters at 170 pounds for years. A former title challenger, Burns is known for his elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu and explosive power in striking exchanges. 

Malott (13-2-1) represents the new wave of welterweights; well-rounded, composed, and dangerous in multiple areas. Fighting in front of Canadian crowds has often brought out the best in him, and he has shown the ability to perform under pressure.

Tale of the Tape 

Gilbert Burns – Odds 3.50 

Record: 22-9

Age: 39

Height: 5ft8

Reach: 71”

Weight: Welterweight 

Stance: Orthodox 

Mike Malott – Odds 1.29 

Record: 13-2-1

Age: 34

Height: 6ft1

Reach: 73”

Weight: Welterweight 

Stance: Orthodox 

Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott: Analysis 

Burns’ grappling pedigree is among the best in the division, with world-class submission skills that make him a constant threat on the ground.

What makes Burns particularly dangerous is his ability to blend grappling with striking. Over time, he has developed into a powerful puncher, capable of hurting opponents with his hands. His overhand right and aggressive combinations have produced several highlight-reel moments. When Burns commits to exchanges, he does so with intent, often looking to end the fight.

However, Burns’ aggressive style can sometimes leave him open defensively. In high-level fights, he has been caught during exchanges, particularly when pressing forward. Managing that balance between offense and defence will be crucial against a composed opponent like Malott.Malott’s skill set includes solid striking fundamentals, effective grappling, and a calm approach to fight management.

On the feet, Malott is technical and measured. He uses his jab, mixes in kicks, and avoids overcommitting to wild exchanges. His striking may not be as explosive as Burns’, but it is efficient and disciplined. This could be key in avoiding the kind of chaotic exchanges where Burns thrives.

Malott’s grappling is also a significant factor. While Burns is the more decorated submission artist, Malott is no slouch on the ground. He has shown the ability to secure submissions and defend himself in grappling exchanges. His physical strength and positional awareness could help him survive or even compete in those scenarios.

Burns vs Malott: Prediction & Betting Tips

Burns will likely look to push the pace, mixing striking with grappling to test Malott in all areas. His goal will be to create chaos and capitalise on openings, whether through power shots or submission opportunities.

Malott, on the other hand, will aim to keep the fight structured. By maintaining discipline and controlling distance, he can attempt to neutralise Burns’ explosiveness. If he can avoid getting drawn into wild exchanges, his technical approach could allow him to compete effectively.

If Burns lands something significant early or secures a takedown, the fight could quickly become dangerous for Malott. However, if Malott weathers that early storm and begins to implement his game plan, the dynamic could shift.

Burns’ aggressive bursts require energy, while Malott’s measured approach may allow him to maintain consistency over the course of the fight. In later rounds, efficiency and composure could become key factors.

Another important element is fight IQ. Burns has faced elite competition and understands how to navigate high-pressure situations. Malott, while talented, is stepping into a higher level of opposition, and how he handles that step up will be critical.

I’m taking Mike Malott moneyline at odds of 1.29 ; it’s very hard to stop someone as durable as Burns but if it happens it will be late on, or it’ll go to the scorecards.