UFC Fight Night – Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho: Preview & Betting Tips

The UFC returns to Paris on Saturday with a crucial middleweight clash this weekend as Nassourdine Imavov faces off against Caio Borralho in the main event. 

Imavov (16-4, 1 NC) has developed into one of the most polished strikers in the middleweight division. Perhaps more importantly, he’s shown he can handle the pressure of main events, having already competed in multiple five-round contests against elite opposition.

Borralho (17-1, 1 NC) is quickly becoming a nightmare matchup for anyone in the division. Undefeated in the UFC, the Brazilian has steadily rounded out his game and has finished two of his last four opponents.

Tale of the Tape

Nassourdine Imavov – Odds 2.10 (Bet 365)

Record: 16-4, 1 NC

Age: 29

Height: 6ft3

Reach: 75”

Weight: Middleweight 

Stance: Orthodox

Caio Borralho – Odds 1.73 (Bet 365)

Record: 17-1, 1 NC

Age: 32

Height: 6ft1

Reach: 75”

Weight: Middleweight 

Stance: Southpaw 

Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho: Analysis

Imavov’s background in Sambo gives him elite takedown defence, which will be key in neutralising Borralho’s wrestling. When Imavov keeps fights standing, his jab, counter-punching, and use of knees and elbows up the middle and in tight spaces make him extremely difficult to outpoint. 

Borralho thrives when he can chain takedowns together and keep opponents guessing between strikes and level changes. Even if he cannot secure a submission, his ability to rack up control time and tire out opponents makes him dangerous over five rounds. 

Against Imavov, Borralho will need to mix his entries carefully, avoid eating counters, and maintain a relentless pace that tests his opponent’s cardio.

Imavov vs Borralho: Prediction & Betting Tips

This fight is likely to be competitive from minute one up until the very end, but Imavov’s sharper striking and ability to neutralise takedowns may tilt the balance. 

Borralho’s path to victory should be to apply suffocating pressure, close the distance, and force Imavov onto the back foot and into defensive positions. Meanwhile, Imavov should use his length, precision striking, and timing to break the Brazilian down over time. 

Borralho will have early moments of control, but over 25 minutes Imavov’s experience and striking diversity should get the better of the Brazilian.

I will be taking Nassourdine Imavov moneyline at odds of 2.10 (Bet 365). This is a super close fight to call, but I just feel like Imavov will hand Borralho his first UFC loss, and at plus money, it’s an attractive play here.