Fantasy NASCAR Picks: Sleepers and Fades for Las Vegas

It will be very hard to leave Larson out of your Fantasy NASCAR lineup this week. Larson is very reliable on ovals, especially the oval at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Larson averages a qualifying position of 5.9 and a finish just above 8th place. In the 8 NextGen era races at Las Vegas, Larson has won twice and finished 6 times in the top-10. Even with a mediocre car at last week's oval in Phoenix, Larson finished near the top.

Ryan Blaney, No. 12 Team Penske Ford

Blaney has endured bad luck over recent years at Las Vegas. Blaney has run just about 80% of the total laps, resulting in a mediocre average finish. To expect even more bad luck is a gamble. The 'law of averages' would suggest that Blaney is due for a better finish this week. He is among the best racers in NASCAR, especially on ovals. Blaney won last week at Phoenix, and with a likely great car, he shall be taken advantage of as just the 6th-highest-priced driver on FanDuel DFS.

Mid-Tier Picks

Brad Keselowski, No. 6 RFK Racing Ford

Keselowski is another consistent, great oval racer. He has just an average finish of 16.5 at Las Vegas in the NextGen era; however, the RFK Racing team looks very strong this season. Keselowski has also endured bad luck in driving just under 90% of laps at Las Vegas since 2022.

Despite his leg injury, Keselowski is firmly in the playoff picture after four races. If we were to rank all NASCAR drivers on pure oval-racing ability, Keselowski would surely be higher than his 14th-highest price on DFS platforms this week. Discounts equal deals.

Chase Briscoe, No. 19 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota

The Briscoe No. 19 team has fielded a great car, just bad luck this season. They are due for a big week, and as seen since the start of 2025, this car has consistently been among the fastest on the track any given Sunday. Briscoe shall be back at it with a strong car at Las Vegas. As many fans overlook Briscoe, Fantasy NASCAR players can leverage his discounted ownership.

Longshot Picks

Ty Gibbs, No. 54 Joe Gibbs Racing

As the saying goes, "strike the iron while it's hot." Gibbs has earned back-to-back great finishes with a P4 at Phoenix this past raceday. Few other teams are capable of taking a mid-to low-end-ranked car and making it among the fastest on the track. The Gibbs team has done this consistently, earning pole positions since Ty began in 2024.

In his 7 races at Las Vegas, Gibbs averages a top-13 start. The way his car sped last Sunday, a top-10 start is quite likely, as he will be good enough to stay in that mix start-to-finish.

AJ Allmendinger, No. 16 Kaulig Racing Chevrolet

Kaulig Racing has quietly put together a good start to the season. Allmendinger is 13th in the driver standings, as Ty Dillon is 21st. By their own standards, they are both racing above average with quality speed built in.

Allmendinger ranks 10th-best in average finish among active drivers in the NextGen era at Las Vegas. He averages a 14.3-place finish, gaining 6.5 positions per race. Say this Kaulig car stays fast, Allmendinger can hopefully crack into the top-15 and thus, finish in the top-10.