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1 player Thunder must trade in 2024 NBA offseason
Image credit: ClutchPoints

For as much success as the Oklahoma City Thunder had this season, it’s easy to forget how young they are. Only the San Antonio Spurs had a younger roster in terms of age than them heading into the 2023-24 campaign. But after their playoff loss to the Dallas Mavericks, questions will be asked about the Thunder’s offseason. Most specifically, whether or not the Thunder decide to trade away Josh Giddey.

Oklahoma City surely does not have to rush into a decision on any of their marquee players. They will have plenty of shots at competing for a title with this core group. Sam Presti also has a million more draft picks at his disposal that will allow the Thunder to continue adding to their roster. But Giddey went from a trusted starter to a minor role player in this series against Dallas. That development could open the door to him potentially finding a new home in the offseason.

Josh Giddey’s tricky fit on Thunder’s roster

The Thunder had plenty of success during the regular season when Giddey’s weakness as a jump shooter wasn’t as magnified. But in the playoffs, every team is looking for any possible weakness to poke it and exploit. Dallas was able to do that with Giddey and he wasn’t able to consistently find counters to make them pay.

The Mavericks stashed their bigs on Giddey in order to protect the rim and try to take the ball out of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s hands. It worked, as that clip above illustrates. Giddey shot 18.8% from deep in this series. With him being a non-factor offensively, his minutes plummeted. After averaging 26.5 minutes per game against the Pelicans, he played just 12.7 minutes in the six games against Dallas.

The Thunder tried stashing him in the dunker spot to try to make Giddey more viable offensively, but that didn’t work out very well either. Dallas centers would be able to effectively guard two players at once without worrying about Giddey finishing at the rim.

The Thunder were -23 in the 76 minutes Giddey played in the duration of Oklahoma City’s series against Dallas. They finished that series with an even point differential. Plus-minus isn’t the most scientific stat out there and the Thunder had struggles scoring even when Giddey was off the floor. But his inability to produce anything at the beginning of this series put the Thunder in a hole they weren’t able to crawl out of.

Financial implications of re-signing Giddey

Oklahoma City Thunder guard Josh Giddey (3) warms up before game six against the Dallas Mavericks in the second round of the 2024 NBA playoffs at American Airlines Center. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Another wrinkle regarding Oklahoma City’s situation with Giddey is his contract status. Giddey is eligible for a contract extension this summer and is poised to become a restricted free agent next summer. The Thunder don’t have many hefty contracts on their books at the moment. Gilgeous-Alexander and Luguentz Dort are the only players on the team with eight-digit salary cap figures in 2026 and beyond.

They have the money to pay Giddey a solid extension, but that won’t last for long. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren will both be eligible for extensions after next season, and both have proven to be more essential to Oklahoma City’s core than Giddey has. They will need to pay them and likely save some money for the likes of Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, and other future draft picks the Thunder make.

They can’t pay everybody. After this playoff run, it would make sense for Giddey to be the odd man out of this young core. For all the shortcomings with his jumper, Giddey has many positive attributes he can bring to a team. He’s an outstanding passer and playmaker, especially for his size at 6-foot-8 and 216 pounds.

But he’s best with the ball in his hands, and it’s hard to justify him carrying a high usage rate when players like Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams are around. A change of scenery would be best for him and the Thunder. It shouldn’t be a surprise if that comes into fruition during the offseason.

This article first appeared on ClutchPoints and was syndicated with permission.

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