When the Warriors beat the Celtics in the 2022 Finals, Boston shot a higher percentage on three-pointers. But it learned a valuable lesson about three-point volume.
In 2022, the Celtics made 40.8% of their threes in the Finals, taking 35 per game. The Warriors only made 36.7% of their triples, but they took almost 42 per game. It's just math. That extra point goes a long way when you ramp up the volume.
In this year's NBA Finals, Boston is making just under 34% of its three-pointers, but it is putting up 42.3 attempts from behind the arc each game. The Celtics have taken 127 three-pointers, while Dallas has put up 78, more than 16 fewer attempts per game.
Through Game 3...
— Paul Hembekides (Hembo) (@PaulHembo) June 13, 2024
MADE THREES
Celtics (43)
Mavs (22)
Best margin (+21) in 3-game Finals span ever
BLOCKS
Celtics (20)
Mavs (5)
Best margin (+15) in 3-game Finals span since 2010 Lakers
ASSISTS
Celtics (78)
Mavs (45)
Best margin (+33) in 3-game Finals span since 2017 Warriors
Some of that is Boston's tough defense, which has consciously denied corner three opportunities for the Mavericks, but it's also due to its team philosophy.
After Joe Mazzulla took over as head coach before the 2022-23 season, the Celtics began taking 5.5 more threes per game. It helps that their personnel has gotten more three-point-oriented, with the additions of Kristaps Porzingis and Derrick White and replacing Marcus Smart with Jrue Holiday.
It's also a team-wide commitment to the outside shot. Boston has three bench players who shoot four or more threes per game at a rate of 38% or higher in Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard and Al Hoford.
With Horford and Porzingis manning the center position, the Celtics essentially neutralize teams like the Mavericks with shot-blocking centers by making them guard out at the arc.
The Celtics' relentless defense has a lot to do with this, but it's shocking to realize that through three NBA Finals games, Kyrie Irving has taken just one more three-pointer (14) than Horford (13), and he's made one fewer.
Only Luka Doncic has made as many as five threes for the Mavericks with nine. The Celtics have six different players who have hit five or more.
If it is going to have any chance at all moving forward, Dallas is going to need to put up more outside shots, specifically from P.J. Washington and Derrick Jones Jr. If the Mavericks don't turn up the volume, Boston is going to sweep them out of the Finals.
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