Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images.

ESPN Computer Model Predicts Winner Of Game 7 Tonight

Originally posted on The Spun | By Daniel Bates | Last updated Jun 22, 2025 12:48 PM ET

You know the story by now... it's the two best words in all of sports: Game. Seven.

After entering this year's Finals as one of the biggest underdogs in NBA history, the Indiana Pacers have forced a Game 7 in OKC's house where one of the league's best homecourts awaits them.

The Pacers absolutely rolled the Thunder in their final stand at Gainbridge Fieldhouse thanks to a total team effort and a solid performance from injured superstar Tyrese Haliburton in Game 6.

Now Indiana is 48 minutes away from potentially hoisting its first ever Larry O'Brien Trophy — but ESPN Analytics believes Oklahoma City is going to have something to say about that.

According to the network's Matchup Predictor, OKC has a 60.1% chance of finishing off its (mostly) dominant season with a ring to the Pacers' 39.9%.

The Thunder enter as 6.5-point favorites at home in the winner-take-all game, per ESPNBET. With the Worldwide Leader's Basketball Power Index leaning on the league's MVP and his team's 10-2 record in Loud City this postseason.

May 15, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) dribbles the ball up court in the second quarter against the Denver Nuggets during game six of the second round for the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images© Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

As we all know though, anything can happen in a Game 7. And its likely going to be a tightly contested battle with everything on the line.

We'll find out just a handful of hours from now though with tip-off between the Pacers and Thunder scheduled for 8 PM ET on ABC.

This article first appeared on The Spun and was syndicated with permission.

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