The NBA season has reached a point where it feels reliable to look at betting trends from the year to infer expected outcomes for the future.
A new weekly feature here on Yardbarker will be looking at every NBA team and their record against the spread (ATS) and against over/unders.
The goal is to familiarize ourselves with the league and find matchups for the week that stick out. For example, two teams that excel at hitting their overs, or one great team ATS playing the worst team ATS.
All trends are courtesy of TeamRankings.com, and betting trends are updated as of January 18.
32. Atlanta Hawks (16-27)
31. Brooklyn Nets (16-26-1)
30. Portland Trail Blazers (17-26)
29. LA Lakers (18-26)
28. Denver Nuggets (18-24)
27. Houston Rockets (19-25-1)
26. Sacramento Kings (20-26)
25. Milwaukee Bucks (20-26)
24. Washington Wizards (19-24-1)
23. Orlando Magic (20-25)
There are a handful of games through Sunday that will see a top-10 ATS team meet a bottom-10 squad. While this does not guarantee that the better team will cover the spread, it remains noteworthy.
The games that stick out are below, with their ATS rank next to their name.
Betting a team against the spread brings in many factors beyond how each team has performed in this betting metric, but it's a piece of the puzzle, so hopefully you can find this to be a resource as you plan your week's NBA bets.
Best Ten NBA Teams At Going Under the Total Points:
— Betting with Data (@bettingwithdata) January 18, 2022
1. DAL (29-13-2)
2. GSW (26-15-2)
3. PHI (26-16-1)
4. CLE (27-17-1)
5. MIL (27-19)
6. NYK(26-18)
7. OKC (25-18)
8. LAC (26-19)
9. NOP (25-19)
10. PHO (23-20) pic.twitter.com/RuebQqOJii
The approach here will be a bit different than looking at ATS trends. For this exercise, the noteworthy scheduling occurrences will be between two teams that hit their overs at a frequent rate or two teams that both go under more often than not.
The below are all games that have two of the ten best teams at hitting their overs this week.
The below are all games that have two of the ten best teams at going under this week.
NBA picks will be posted throughout the week here at Yardbarker, as will varying betting trends as we navigate finding value on the board every night.
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