NBA same-game parlay: Top picks for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 on Thu. 5/16

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6 Same-Game Parlay

1. Denver Nuggets ML +110
2. Christian Braun Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds
3. Minnesota Timberwolves First-Quarter ML -130

Parlay Odds: +800

Denver Nuggets

ML +110 vs. Timberwolves (Bet365)

The Nuggets have drawn blood and now may be going in for the knockout punch in Game 6. Denver leads the series against the Timberwolves, 3-2, after dropping the first two games.

Chris Baker thinks we need to keep riding the Nuggets to the Western Conference Finals:

“The Nuggets' half-court offensive rating in Game 5 was 113.3, and they're averaging 116.5 points per 100 possessions over their past three games. For reference, the average half-court offensive rating in the playoffs is 96.8, and Boston — the favorite to win it all — is averaging 106.3 points per 100 in the half-court this postseason.

“Additionally, the Nuggets are doing this against the No. 1-rated defense this season. It honestly feels like we're at the point where Minnesota needs to find a way to outscore Denver in order to win.”

“The Wolves offense isn't reliable enough without Mike Conley, and we also saw Karl-Anthony Towns limp off the court after Game 5. In its current form, this team doesn’t have enough offense to best the Nuggets, and I think they may be spiritually defeated after three straight double-digit losses.”

Follow Chris Baker in the Action App.

Christian Braun

Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (Bet365)

All eyes have been on NBA MVP Nikola Jokic in this series, but it’s the way he elevates the supporting cast that might be most valuable.

Take a look at second-year player Christian Braun. The former Kansas Jayhawk has seen his minutes increase in each of the last two games in this series, and Joe Dellera writes in our best bets that we need to ride Braun’s points + rebounds prop due to his elevated role:

“Braun’s quickness and physicality have been useful on defense, and he can at least make Anthony Edwards’ life a little bit more difficult on that end.

“When Braun has played 20-plus minutes this season, he has exceeded this line in 74% of games while averaging 14.1 points + rebounds (PR). If he plays 25-plus minutes, this jumps to 89% with an average of 16.4 PR.”

Follow Joe Dellera in the Action App.

Minnesota Timberwolves

First-Quarter ML -130 (Bet365)

When a team is facing an elimination game at home they’ll naturally have a bit more pep in their step to open the game.

This is exactly why our guy Jay Money said on the "Buckets" podcast that he loves the Timberwolves to come out firing and win the first quarter in Game 6:

“I'm going with a desperation spot here. I wouldn’t care if they were down 0-3; I love playing this spot when teams have their backs against the wall.

First quarters can be a little wonky, but if the T-Wolves want any chance to win, they have to come out and throw the first punch."

Follow Jay Money in the Action App.

Disclaimer: Parlays have a significantly lower chance of winning compared to betting each leg of the same-game parlay on its own. Those percentages only decrease with the more legs you add to the parlay. Keep your expectations in check, and please bet on these responsibly for recreation.