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Nobody is confident in the Dallas Mavericks, and that's perfectly understandable
Apr 5, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Dallas Mavericks forward Anthony Davis (3) looks on during the second half against the Los Angeles Clippers at Intuit Dome. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

The NBA regular season starts in just under two weeks for the Dallas Mavericks, who still have a few preseason game remaining. Expectations are high for the Mavs, even though Kyrie Irving will miss a chunk of the season as he recovers from the ACL injury he suffered in March.

Irving has been cautious about giving any any kind of timetable for his return, and the Mavericks are hoping their deep frontcourt is enough to propel them to some wins until he returns for a late playoff push.

Win projections are starting to roll in for the Mavs, and it seems as though that the Mavs are likely to be a middle-of-the road team this year. That should be a surprise.

ESPN's Kevin Pelton's Win Projection: 43.6, 9th Place Western Conference

"Although I don't love how the players fit together in Dallas, the Mavericks certainly have plenty of talent with eight who rate better than league average, including Kyrie Irving (knee), who currently doesn't have a timetable for a return. Dallas is dependent on D'Angelo Russell solidifying the point guard spot until Irving returns, but this roster isn't getting quite enough credit due to Irving's injury and the Luka Doncic trade," Pelton wrote.

Bleacher Report's Grant Hughes' Record Projection: 42-40

"Size won't be an issue for the Dallas Mavericks and, by extension, neither should defense. Between Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, Dereck Lively II, Cooper Flagg, PJ Washington, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, and Max Christie, the Mavs are overstuffed with rangy forwards and centers," Hughes wrote.

"Don't be surprised to see units where Flagg or Washington has to slide all the way down to the 2.
All that length will be of little help on offense, where D'Angelo Russell has his work cut out for him as the team's only reliable ball-handler until Kyrie Irving returns.

"Spacing will be at a premium if Dallas intends to put its best overall players on the floor, which will make Russell's pick-and-roll work harder. Not only that, but Flagg profiles as perhaps the rotation's second-best shot creator. Expect major slogs on both ends as the Mavs overwhelm opponents with their size on D but struggle to get anything going offensively."

Mavericks Likely to Finish Around .500

Just looking at the names on paper, one would think it would be a good team: Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Dereck Lively II, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington. Naji Marshall, and many more.

But I'm concerned about the backcourt depth and the lack of shooting. The D'Angelo Russell signing doesn't move the needle for me unless he's back to shooting 36-38% from three-point range again. If he picks up where he left off last year, which was the worst shooting season of his career at 31.4% from deep, the Mavs could be in trouble this season.

If I were to take a guess, the team will finish around 40-42, as I think the offense is going to struggle to score, and I'm not convinced the defense is good enough to carry them to a lot of low-scoring wins.

This article first appeared on Dallas Mavericks on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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