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Sacramento Kings Predicted to Sign Top Free Agent Guard
Dec 20, 2024; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard Ty Jerome (2) celebrates with guard Donovan Mitchell (45) after hitting a three point basket during the first half against the Milwaukee Bucks at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

We’re still a few weeks away from the free agency moratorium, but that doesn’t stop fans and the media from making guesses on where top targets will end up. For years, it was an uphill battle for the Kings to bring in high-level free agents or retain their own. 

Funny enough, Scott Perry’s first tenure in Sacramento felt like a turning point in terms of free agency as the team was able to bring in George Hill, Vince Carter, and Zach Randolph. Randolph and Carter were on the tail end of their careers, and George Hill isn’t the biggest name in the world, but it was still a big change from previous years. 

The Kings probably won’t find themselves in the running for a superstar-level free agent anytime soon, but there are more reasonable targets that can still help the team win. While finding a full-time point guard and better wing defenders is at the top of the list for Sacramento, they also need some shooting help. 

After being one of the best three-point shooting teams in the NBA, the Kings fell to 19th in the league last year at only 35%. Bleacher Report’s Eric Pincus thinks the Kings might be getting some help in that arena in the form of one of the best shooters in the NBA last season, Ty Jerome. 

“Prediction: The Sacramento Kings have the NTMLE available and need a starting-capable guard who can come off the bench.”

The NTMLE stands for the “Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception,” which is available for teams with salaries that do not surpass the luxury tax threshold. That exception will be a little over $14 million according to Spotrac.com and would be a nice payday for Jerome, who is only making $2.6 million currently. 

Jerome was incredibl,e almost all of last season for Cleveland, shooting over 50% from the field and nearly 44% from three while averaging 12.5 points per game. 

If the Kings do end up moving Malik Monk for a high draft pick or starting-level player, Jerome would be the best possible replacement and would come at a slightly cheaper price if he does end up getting the NTMLE. 

While Jerome was mostly used to spell Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell, he was still successful while sharing the floor with one of the All-Star guards. The two-man lineups of Jerome and Garland/Mitchell were both solid, with net ratings of 9.8 and 11.5, respectively. Jerome was also excellent when playing with the two bigs, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, with a 24.7 net rating as a three-man lineup. Of course, net rating only means so much, and the value may even drop when using two or three-man lineups instead of 5, but that’s why we have tape. 

This play above is such a great example because it shows two reasons why Jerome is such an impactful offensive player. First, Jerome sees Mobley pick up his dribble after being pressured on the perimeter and notices Davion Mitchell ball watching, so he cuts behind Mitchell and gives Mobley an easy pass to the middle of the key. Next, Jerome knows Mobley is wide open because both defenders follow Max Strus to the top of the key, and Ty casually leads his defender away from the lane as he drops it off to Mobley for an easy dunk.

These kinds of connecting plays are so important to offensive flow, especially when your two leading scorers are off the floor and baskets aren’t as easy to come by. 

While Jerome’s feel for the game is a huge reason he broke out last year, the biggest factor was his shooting. Jerome has always been a solid shooter at about 38% for his career, but his 60% effective field goal percentage was by far a career high and good for 14th in the NBA. Add Jerome to the Kings, and now they have four players who shot over 40% from deep last season, along with Zach LaVine, Keon Ellis, and Domantas Sabonis. 

For a team that was barely inside the top 20, adding Jerome’s shooting would be a difference maker. Jerome specifically excels at pull-up threes, where he shot better than the greatest shooter of all time last season. 

Most of the knocks on Jerome are now revolving around his issues in the playoffs against the Indiana Pacers, where he went 3/20 from three and only scored more than eight points in one game. While now Indiana’s defense is looked at as one of the best in the league, Jerome’s performance might’ve cost him a bigger pay day and kept a team like the Kings in the running for his services.

We’ll see if Sacramento ends up targeting Jerome, but that should completely hinge on the rest of the moves that are made this offseason.


This article first appeared on Sacramento Kings on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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