Yesterday I detailed what needs to happen for the Miami Heat to hit their ceiling and the best possible outcome from that. Today, its time for a less fun topic of the doomsday scenario. What is the doomsday scenario for the Miami Heat this year? Well glad you asked let’s get into it.
Catastrophic injury
The obvious thing that would derail the Heat’s season is an injury to one of their 3 best players: Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, or Norman Powell. Yes, Herro is already injured but it is not thought to be anything long term. If one of these 3 guys goes down with a season ending injury, the Heat stand no chance. They have no one on their roster to replace these guys. Basically, anyone else they can “survive” and injury from but one of these three and they will be packing their bags for Cancun before the All-Star break.
Can you be a Herro? Don't think so
It is no secret that the Miami Heat struggle with offense, that side of the floor has been holding them back for years. They did add Powell this year to help with offense, but if Herro is unable to produce similarly to last year, then the Heat’s offense will be even worse. The most important aspect last year was his efficiency and his new ability to score in the paint. This year his 3-point shooting could be the most crucial after the loss of Duncan Robinson. Herro is arguably the most important player on the Heat this year. Which way his season goes, the Heat’s will also. If his efficiency drops off, the addition of Powell will be null and void.
Captain starts slow
Bam Adebayo needs to come out firing. If Adebayo has a slow start to the year, it might not matter what he does in the 2nd half. This team needs momentum and if Adebayo can’t supply it, I’m not sure who can. Herro might be the most important, but Adebayo is the soul of the team. He is the level head and leader that keeps them focused. Unfortunately, he tends to play one half of the year significantly better than the other half. Last year he started off slowly and built up as the year progressed. This year though, they can’t afford that.
Be-Ware
Kel’el Ware has all the talent in the world. People say that often, but in this case, it is absolutely correct. Ware’s issues are never talent based but are mentality based. He tends to not do all the little things required to be a consistent impact player. If Ware falls into these habits and can not be relied on, the Heat lose a high ceiling impact player. Considering the Heat have very little front court depth, they need Ware to be dependable.
Boozer or Snoozer (in the playoffs)
The Miami Heat don’t have no room for error this year. They simply don’t have enough talent to sustain lackluster performances from key rotation players. If there is an injury, regression, slow start or lack of effort, they will be packing their bags earlier than usual. If all 4 of these things happen, the Heat will be competing for the coveted #1 pick. If 2 of these things happen, the Heat might make the Play-in if they are lucky. If they Make the Play-in, then they could sneak into the playoffs. Depending on who you talk to, that could be the worst scenario of all.
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