
The Memphis Grizzlies are entering an extremely pivotal offseason. There’s the dark cloud of the Ja Morant situation still floating over the franchise, waiting to play out, plus an upcoming lottery pick that is “must-hit” for the franchise. After the trade of franchise cornerstones Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane, and amid multiple reports that Morant is on the trade block, the Grizzlies seem to be heading for another rebuild.
Grizzlies' General Manager Zach Kleiman has proven himself to be successful at rebuilds. It took him only two seasons at the helm to create a team that would make the playoffs, and the following two years would create a team that would be the two-seed in the Western Conference.
Kleiman is back in the position he’s good at: creating a team through the draft and outside moves to reach a competitive level. If he wants this team to get back to a competitive level, these are three personnel moves he must make this offseason.
Zach Edey is heading into his third NBA season. In his short time, he’s proven to be the most important player for the Grizzlies. In the 11 games Edey played this season, the Grizzlies went 7-4. Edey also led the Grizzlies to a defensive rating of 108.6 during the 11-game span. A rating that would rank second in the league. Memphis finished the year with a 112.4 defensive rating, ranked 27th in the league.
Edey also increased his production on the offensive end. He averaged a double-double with 13.6 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game on 63% shooting from the field.
Frankly, the team looks different when he is on the floor. However, with Edey’s season shut down after another surgery for a stress reaction in his left ankle and an additional surgery to address lingering discomfort in his left elbow, his future availability is in question.
Zach Kleiman needs to find an additional big man not just to back up Edey, but to provide a level of production and impact similar to Edey's when Edey eventually misses games. Over the course of the Grizzlies' franchise history, the team is best when it has a consistent, imposing presence down low. Edey is the next iteration of the trend, but needs a comparable backup that can supplement those minutes when he’s gone.
That backup can come in the draft with the Grizzlies 16th pick. Michigan’s Aday Mara is a prospect of similar size and play style to Edey, projected to go late lottery to mid-first round. That backup could also come through the free agency or trade market.
New York’s Mitchell Robinson is set to become an unrestricted free agent this offseason. His length, athleticism, and shot-blocking ability would fit well in Tuomas Iisalo’s system. With Memphis’ financial flexibility, Kleiman could offer him a similar contract to the nearly $13 million he’s making with the Knicks.
Another player to keep an eye on is Thunder big man Isaiah Hartenstein. Oklahoma City will be in a position this offseason to decide whether to dip into its luxury tax to keep its core together. If they want to avoid the tax, Hartenstein and his $28.5 million contract could be the odd man out. Memphis has a trade exception of $28.8 million. Hartenstein could bring his veteran leadership and championship pedigree to a young Grizzlies team that could need it.
When the Grizzlies traded Jackson Jr., there was a gaping hole in the starting power forward position. With Edey absent for most of the year, there was a lack of interior presence down low for the Grizz.
Santi Aldama would naturally fill that position, but it is argued he’s better coming off the bench as a sixth man.
In 43 games, Aldama averaged a career-high 14.0 points and 6.7 rebounds per game this season while shooting 47.9% from the field. While he had strides on offense with more opportunities, he also had the worst defensive season of his career.
Aldama totaled a defensive rating of 116.0. He gave up 9.2 second-chance points per game and 30.1 points in the paint per game. All three categories were the worst of his career. Aldama, a 7'0 power forward who doesn’t rebound or protect the rim at an elite level, is not who you want paired next to Zach Edey.
Regardless, if that means trading Aldama for an upgrade at the four, or moving other pieces to put him in his natural position coming off the bench, a move needs to be made.
At his peak, Brandon Clarke was a vital part of the GrizzNextGen era. His defensive versatility and athleticism served Memphis very well. Unfortunately, he has never returned to that form. After a left Achilles tear, right MCL sprain, and right calf strain, Clarke has played 72 games in the past three seasons.
Being hit with the injury bug is never fair. However, Clarke is entering the last year of his 4-year. $52 million contract, his value to the team and the market is at an all-time low. His athleticism is limited after consecutive injuries, and he never developed a consistent offensive game to compensate for that loss.
If you’re Kleiman, you would like to add Clarke to an offseason trade, to get off his contract and hopefully get some sort of value in return. The other two options are to hope Clarke is healthy going into next season, possibly increasing his value before the trade deadline, or ultimately letting him walk for nothing in free agency.
In a contract year, Clarke will expect to be the best version of himself in hopes of receiving a contract extension. Unfortunately for Clarke, his skill set isn’t exclusive to him, and the Grizzlies could find a replacement on a better contract. His limited offensive game doesn’t fit the best in Iisalo’s system and could ultimately be the reason for the end of his Memphis tenure.
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