How 'bout those Guardians yesterday! That read felt good, we're not gonna lie. Cleveland won the first five, and sure enough the latter innings caused some funkiness and Boston went on to win. We'll be remembering the data that powered that pick, and we just so happen to have another first five innings bet today. Before we get there, we have a Same Game Parlay we like in Toronto.
Same Game Parlay backing the Blue Jays — Alek Manoah is on the mound tonight for Toronto, authoring an extremely strong season on the hill. Detroit is a favorable opponent for a dominant righty like Manoah; the Tigers are striking out at the sixth-highest rate vs. RHP, and no team has a lower OBP than Detroit when facing a righty. Manoah should have no issues stifling Detroit's scoring, and his alternate strikeouts look extremely appealing. You could take his standard over at 5.5, but our first leg in this SGP is for Manoah to record 5+ Ks. Manoah has 5+ strikeouts in eight straight games and in 15 of his 19 starts this year.
We like Toronto to win off the back of a strong performance from its starter, so Blue Jays' moneyline will be our second addition.
We'll tack on a few Blue Jays batters to get a hit, bringing this SGP to +185 on DraftKings. Alejandro Kirk has a hit in 10 of his last 11 games, and Kirk is hitting .323 against righties this year (RHP Bryan Garcia is on the mound for Detroit). Something about being at home has done wonders for Lourdes Gurriel; the left fielder has a hit in 16 straight home games. All in all, that will wrap our 4-leg SGP for this Toronto game.
+185 SGP on DK:
- Alek Manoah 5+ strikeouts
- Toronto ML
- Lourdes Gurriel hit
- Alejandro Kirk hit
If it ain't broke ... let's fade Boston again — Boston is 2-7-2 against the first five innings ML in the last 11 games after last night. The Red Sox once again draw a righty in Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff. Boston is striking out at the third-highest rate vs. RHP in the past 30 days, and its OBP is fourth-worst in that span. Brayan Bello is on the mound for Boston tonight. In his three starts this year, the right-handed hurler has allowed four, five and five runs. Milwaukee owns the fourth-highest OBP against RHP, suggesting to us that the Brewers jump on Bello early. With the Red Sox's struggles against RHP, we once again don't see them keeping up to start the game.
The pick: Milwaukee -0.5 first five innings (-120 DK)
In other news ...
Reports indicate Tampa Bay Buccaneers may have lost their Pro Bowl center for the season — Ryan Jensen, the Bucs Pro Bowl center who has started in every game he's played in since 2017, suffered a knee injury on the first day of training camp. The injury is expected to keep Jensen off the field for the entire season, a blow to the Buccaneers' interior offensive line. We just wrote about why we liked Tom Brady to win MVP, so this news has us sweating a bit. We wish Jensen a speedy recovery. Don't be surprised if you see Tampa Bay make a move for a new center.
MLB trade deadline fast approaching — MLB's trade deadline will be here soon, Aug. 2. The baseball world is still waiting to hear where Nationals star Juan Soto will land, but here are 25 players who could be dealt before the deadline. Keep your ear to the ground on the rumor mill; futures odds will shift quickly should a contender add a pivotal piece to its team.
Rocket Mortgage Classic takes us into the weekend — We'll have ourselves some golf this weekend, as the Rocket Mortgage Classic continues on. At the end of Round 1, it was Tony Finau in the lead, fresh off a win at the 3M Open. By the time you read this, Finau will have just teed off, and we're seeing +400 for him to win again. Charley Hoffman has gotten off to a fast start on Friday morning and currently has +3500 odds to win the tournament. Enjoy the weekend of golf!
Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll