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Breaking Down the NFL’s Biggest Underdogs Ready to Shock the League This Season
Jan 12, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) scrambles during the fourth quarter of a NFC wild card playoff against the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

August marks a new start to the league, and certainties will toll. Veterans recover, and schemes are solidified. Young quarterbacks translate speed into rhythm. A chain of healthy weeks may retrace whole divisions. The underdogs dwell in those wider margins, awaiting the initiation of momentum to pick up a flame.

Tampa Bay Refuses to Fade from the Picture

In Tampa Bay, continuity calms the outlook. Baker Mayfield throws back to the sharp timing of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Another defense that develops in a home is the type adapted to mastering situations. Most die-hard patrons reference the best football betting sites to monitor changing odds throughout August. All statistics point to a team that can make big plays.

Respect, but not necessarily endorsement, is shown with the current existing futures markets pegging Tampa Bay at +2,800-3,500. Their recent postseason success and their veterans indicate that the Buccaneers will recapture momentum.

Denver Looks More Dangerous than the Market Admits

Bo Nix made a rookie season into a springboard for big things, throwing for 3,775 yards and 29 touchdowns and pushing Denver back into the playoffs. The defense finished last year with a purpose, and depth signings kept the floor from sagging. Futures all start from +2800 and rise post camp. 

Sean Payton’s public endorsement of Nix isn’t a meaningless blow, since they’ve been seeing similar stuff on tape and late-season jumps. One gigantic play among explosive plays could turn the AFC West numbers.

Pittsburgh Bets on Defense and Veteran Guile

Pittsburgh is designed to win ugly and win late. T.J. Watt, the ball-hawking secondary squeeze scores, and Mike Tomlin teams are rarely down to their last. Markets have stabilized in the middle ground around +3,500.

The profile number doesn’t sell that well. That profile travels in January: pass rush, field position, and fourth-quarter discipline. Sticking to the script is an advantage most easily disguised as dullness in a crowded AFC.

Bears Accelerate from Promise to Punch


Aug 22, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) gestures at the line against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first half of the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images

Chicago turns up when the rhythm is early on the offense. The talent at the skill positions on the roster is there, and the defense flashes teeth when the rush makes contact. Futures have been trading at around +4,000, which suggests upside.

They must improve their defense compared to the closing stretch of last season, when they allowed sacks and saw drives stall. They could enjoy a midseason surge provided the offense avoids repeating those mistakes

Atlanta Falcons Redraw the NFC South Map

Atlanta is volatile, yet the upside case is also solid. Breaking speed on both sides of the ball and gaining a clean month of success will win the division. Super Bowl odds have been bouncing around +8,000 at different outlets. 

On paper, it’s the same old story to a riser: jump to average on the slant side of the ball, take two or three coin flips, and end December with tiebreakers. But if explosive plays are back, Atlanta will be soaring quickly.

Seattle Seahwaks Lean on Balance and Health to Surge

The blueprint that Seattle combines a pass rush in the top 13 with effective explosives. Health is still the hinge at the trenches and secondaries. Lines have traded at around +6000 in camp, and the Seahawks are classic sleeper material. 

They have a decent win band, which aligns with a roster that can ride game flow, and special teams have followed them. The next gear would be opened by getting better against the heavy play-action looks of the NFC West.

At the Final Whistle, Believe Boldly and Judge Wisely

Stories are made when underdogs have a few advantages piled together. Tampa Bay has continuity and a quarterback appointed to a top 100 spot by peers. Denver will add a second-year quarterback whose performance has already demonstrated veteran-like efficiency. The defense also understands precisely how to finish strong. The key to Pittsburgh’s success is the strength of its defense and situational mastery in an error-punished conference. 

The Chicago ceiling increases when protection is stabilized and the skill core remains on the field. Atlanta can ride a cushy hand in the division that can turn one-point games into positioning power. The case of Seattle depends on the pressure rate and maintaining its vertical threat on its shelves.

This article first appeared on Stadium Rant and was syndicated with permission.

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