Another Chicago Bears mock draft? What's the point of continuing to do these over and over? Well, the structure of the Bears roster has changed significantly since our last mock draft, meaning that the team's positional needs in the draft are now more defined. After trading for Ryan Bates, the Bears hold five picks in the 2024 NFL Draft. With the recent additions of Kevin Byard (S), D'Andre Swift (RB), Gerald Everett (TE), Jonathan Owens (S), Matt Pryor (OT), and Amen Ogbongbeniga (LB), the positional needs for the team have shifted significantly.
In this mock draft, I made eight selections after moving up and down inside the top 50. I used the PFF mock draft simulator and worked under the assumption that the Bears didn't make another notable signing or trade (including any Justin Fields trade) before draft day. I forgot to trade Justin Fields within the mock, but I think that's fitting since his market seems to be such a mystery.
At this point, I firmly believe that the Bears will move on from Justin Fields. While I didn't execute a trade during the draft, I wouldn't expect him to stay on the Bears roster long after the draft. I wish him the best on his next team and hope to see him succeed elsewhere. Maybe a change of scenery will do him good.
But Caleb Williams is in a league of his own relative to the other quarterbacks in this draft class. He would've been the top QB prospect in either of the last two and four of the last five draft classes, allowing room for debate against Trevor Lawrence. The Bears are in a situation that teams dream about. Adding a potentially generational QB talent to a roster that won seven games the previous year without sacrificing future draft capital is virtually unheard of.
USC QB Caleb Williams #BuildingTheBoard
— Chicago Football Connection (@CFCBears) February 6, 2024
It's impossible to watch his tape and not come away impressed with the arm talent, improvisation skills, and ability to read a defense and get through his progressions quickly. In any other year, the Bears would have a tough decision to… pic.twitter.com/4wMj5spu15
In this mock draft, neither Rome Odunze nor Malik Nabers was available at No. 9. Had one been available, it would've been difficult to pass on making a selection. But the Bears have created a dilemma by still needing to add starting-caliber talent at wide receiver, center, and EDGE. Therefore, we have a trade to acquire the draft capital to fill two of those needs.
There are only two centers in this class I'd be comfortable starting with a rookie quarterback. The first is Zach Frazier out of West Virginia. Frazier offers the highest floor of any center in the class, and I feel confident plugging him into the starting lineup. Had I gone that route, I likely would've targeted Adonai Mitchell in this spot and Frazier in the second round. But that's not what I did.
Instead, I went after the center prospect with the highest ceiling in Jackson Powers-Johnson. While the Oregon product has a higher ceiling than Frazier, he also has a very high floor. His physical style of play, youth, athleticism, and mean streak fit Ryan Poles' desired traits like a glove. Is it that big of a mystery why the Bears sent such a large group of scouts to Oregon's pro day?
Oregon OC Jackson Powers-Johnson #NFLDraft
— Chicago Football Connection (@CFCBears) December 12, 2023
6'3 & 320 pounds. This dude is mean & powerful but he's also refined for his age giving him a chance to be the first OC taken come April. The Bears should definitely be interested. My Scouting Report ️#BuildingTheBoard pic.twitter.com/2suv9Q49Kb
Get your big boy pants on, Ryan Poles. Because if you want to add surefire starting-caliber wide receiver talent, you likely need to move up (*GASPS*) in the second round. Players like Troy Franklin and Keon Coleman came off the board in the top 45 in most of my mock draft attempts. This means it's prudent to get as close to the top 40 as possible to secure your man.
I planned to attack center and wide receiver with the top two picks after No. 1 overall. With the center already in tow, I needed to secure my wide receiver of choice. Troy Franklin was also available, but I prefer the transformer-sized receiver out of Florida State.
Keon Coleman offers imposing size and excellent agility, a combination you don't see all that often. Some will say this is an overdraft with Coleman's ADP sitting at 48.9 on the PFF simulator, but he kept going inside the top 45 in my other attempts.
What really sold me on Coleman's tape was his ability to take over in big moments. Against Clemson, one of the better secondaries in the country, Coleman logged up five catches for 86 yards and two touchdowns. That included the 24-yard one-handed game-winning touchdown catch in overtime against single coverage. Opposite DJ Moore, Coleman should see opportunities to use his size, leaping ability, and ball skills against single coverage.
Keon Coleman has the best highlight reel catches in the 2024 WR class. He is physical at the catch point and as a route runner. The problem he in far too many contested situations. He can serve a role in an offense but the lack of separation is troubling #BuildingTheBoard pic.twitter.com/JDAVnJdGh8
— Arik Armstead’s Agent (@TommyK_NFLDraft) December 17, 2023
The Bears failed to make a significant wide receiver addition in free agency. While that's not the ideal situation for a rookie quarterback, Ryan Poles can still fill out the depth of the room with a high-floor player whom Williams is familiar with. To do that, we're adding USC wide receiver Brenden Rice in the third round.
The son of Hall of Fame wide receiver Jerry Rice, Brenden uses a high football IQ and good route running technique to win. While his physical traits don't blow you away, the nuance he brings to the position gives him a high floor in the NFL. Meanwhile, his familiarity from playing at USC with Williams for the last two seasons should bode well for both players.
Dad knows best @JerryRice | @BrendenRice | @uscfb pic.twitter.com/JcZlxGQqmU
— NFL (@NFL) March 5, 2024
With only two fourth-round picks remaining, the Bears need to move down to accumulate some more picks in the later rounds. Day 3 of the draft is a volume game. The more picks you have, the more likely you'll hit on an overlooked prospect. This deal gives the Bears two extra picks by moving down 14 spots in the fourth round.
With an offensive selection in each of the Bears' first four picks, Matt Eberflus is pulling his hair out by now. There goes the new-look Flus. Just outside the top 100 picks, we finally get our first defender in defensive tackle Maason Smith.
The LSU product's player profile has a lot of similarities to 2023 draft pick Gervon Dexter Sr. His potential to play any given down regardless of whether it's a pass or run is valuable in Eberflus's scheme. With Smith's size, strength, and athletic profile to play either spot on the interior, you (potentially) won't worry about how to handle offensive motions that change his alignment.
LSU DT Maason Smith was the top rated DT prospect in his high school class before committing to LSU and could potentially be had on the second half of day two in the 2024 NFL Draft.
— Quinten Krzysko (@ButkusStats) February 19, 2024
✅Massive, filled out frame with special movement ability for his size & easy power
✅Impressive… pic.twitter.com/G8bC7qUrqT
Back-to-back defenders! We're late here in adding EDGE help, but late is still better than never. The reality is that EDGE prospects outside the first round have a much lower hit rate. Because of that, it may be a better strategy to target more developmental players later in the draft than to attack the position on Day 2.
Nelson Ceaser offers pass-rush upside but limited experience and success with his hand in the dirt. You need to make calculated bets at this point in the draft, and I'm betting that Ceaser can learn to play with a hand in the dirt as a pass-rush specialist. He offers long arms (33.625") in a 254-pound frame with adequate quickness and bend but a limited strength profile. As a situational pass rusher, the Bears could develop him into an asset for the defense.
@UHCougarFB EDGE Nelson Ceaser (@IAMNPC3_) is one of the most technical rushers in the nation. He displays his expansive hand move repertoire in both the pass & run game.
— Noah K.M Chang (@tr8s808) September 5, 2023
I look forward to him expanding on his hot start to the season!@ShrineBowl #ShrineBowl #GoCougs pic.twitter.com/ZfP8mSFy8L
Hunter Nourzad, NO MATTER WHAT! Nourzad is an experienced and versatile interior offensive lineman who could play a valuable swing role for the Bears. Why do I love him so much as a prospect? He played every position on the offensive line in college, graduated from Cornell, has few glaring weaknesses in his game, and fits well into an outside zone blocking scheme. Why doesn't the NFL love him as much as I do?
Nourzad lacks any elite traits and will turn 25 years old as a rookie. In the fifth round, I can live with that. Even though the Bears have already added depth to their offensive line via free agency and trades, I believe you can never have enough good blockers. And there's value in this pick.
Penn State iOL Hunter Nourzad #BuildingTheBoard
— Chicago Football Connection (@CFCBears) January 25, 2024
If the Bears choose to sign a center in FA, they should still target a center at some point in the '24 draft on day three. And Nourzad could be their guy to let sit and develop. The former Cornell OT has played all 5 OL positions… pic.twitter.com/gnvKVqGcjZ
The Bears have added two safeties in free agency between Kevin Byard and Jonathan Owens, but it'd still be wise to take some shots on youth later in the draft. In Oladapo, they're getting a physical and instinctive safety who was the captain of the Oregon State defense. While he doesn't possess high-end athletic traits, the hope here is that he can make up for that with his instinctive style of play.
Kitan Oladapo gets his 2nd INT of the game ‼️ pic.twitter.com/gA09FmiQfv
— Pac-12 Network (@Pac12Network) November 12, 2023
Offensive Depth Chart
Postion | Starter | 2nd String | 3rd String |
---|---|---|---|
QB |
Caleb Williams |
Tyson Bagent |
Brett Rypien |
RB |
D'Andre Swift |
Khalil Herbert |
Roschon Johnson |
FB |
Khari Blasingame |
N/A |
N/A |
WR1 |
DJ Moore |
Brenden Rice |
N/A |
WR2 |
Keon Coleman |
Collin Johnson |
N/A |
WR3 |
Tyler Scott |
Velus Jones |
Nsimba Webster |
TE |
Cole Kmet |
Gerald Everett |
Stephen Carlson |
LT |
Braxton Jones |
Larry Borom |
Matt Pryor |
LG |
Teven Jenkins |
Ryan Bates |
Matt Pryor |
C |
Jackson Powers-Johnson |
Hunter Nourzad |
Ryan Bates |
RG |
Nate Davis |
Ryan Bates |
Ja'Tyre Carter |
RT |
Darnell Wright |
Matt Pryor |
Larry Borom |
Defensive Depth Chart
Position | Starter | 2nd String | 3rd String |
---|---|---|---|
EDGE |
Montez Sweat |
Khalid Kareem |
N/A |
DT |
Andrew Billings |
Maason Smith |
Michael Dwumfour |
DT |
Gervon Dexter |
Zacch Pickens |
N/A |
EDGE |
DeMarcus Walker |
Nelson Ceaser |
Dominique Robinson |
LB (WILL) |
TJ Edwards |
Amen Ogbongbemiga |
Daniel Hardy |
LB (MIKE) |
Tremaine Edmunds |
Micah Baskerville |
N/A |
LB (SAM) |
Jack Sanborn |
Noah Sewell |
N/A |
CB1 |
Jaylon Johnson |
Terell Smith |
Jaylon Jones |
CB2 |
Tyrique Stevenson |
Terell Smith |
Greg Stroman Jr. |
nCB |
Kyler Gordon |
Josh Blackwell |
Quindell Johnson |
FS |
Kevin Byard |
Kitan Oladapo |
Elijah Hicks |
SS |
Jaquan Brisker |
Jonathan Owens |
Tarvarius Moore |
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