The 6-0 Kansas City Chiefs will travel to Las Vegas to take on the 2-5 Raiders in Week 8.
The Chiefs are the last remaining undefeated team in the NFL after their 28-18 victory over the San Francisco 49ers last week. Their defense has been dominant, allowing just 56 rushing yards per game to running backs, by far the least amount in the league. It also ranks fifth in points allowed at 17.2 per game.
Offensively, Kansas City has changed its identity following the losses of wide receivers Rashee Rice and Hollywood Brown. After re-signing running back Kareem Hunt, the Chiefs' offense took a run-first approach with multiple tight ends on the field. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is having the worst statistical year of his career, but continues to make big plays during crucial moments of games.
After showing some promise with a 2-2 start, which included a win over the Baltimore Ravens, the Raiders have lost three games in a row. They have had a carousel at quarterback already, benching Gardner Minshew for Aidan O'Connell and then switching back to Minshew due to injury.
Neither have been good, combining for just six touchdown passes and 10 interceptions. It doesn't get much better out of the backfield as Las Vegas has the third-worst rushing attack in the league. Its defense has been respectable, particularly against the pass, allowing 180.1 yards per game.
Let's take a look at the odds and best bets for this matchup.
*Odds from Caesars Sportsbook and subject to change
Chiefs: -550
Raiders: +400
After having to grind out some nail-biter victories during the first three weeks of the season, the Chiefs have won their last two games comfortably. Their new offensive formula has paid dividends and matches up well against the Raiders' defense, which is surrendering 136.7 rushing yards per game.
It's hard to imagine the Las Vegas offense having much success against the Chiefs' defense at all, especially after trading away its top receiver Davante Adams. Since K.C. is big favorites and I think it will win by double-digits, I'm avoiding the moneyline and betting the spread.
Chiefs: -10 (-110)
Raiders: +10 (-110)
Even if the Raiders' defense plays valiantly, the offense just isn't capable of taking advantage. I like the Chiefs to win with relative ease and cover the 10-point spread.
Over: -110
Under: -100
I think the Chiefs have the opportunity to put together their best offensive performance of the season in this game. They haven't broke the 30-point mark yet, but I believe they will this week led by Kareem Hunt and possibly a dose of newly acquired receiver DeAndre Hopkins.
While I don't think the Raiders will do a lot on offense, they should be able to muster enough points to combine with K.C. and hit the over.
Hunt has revived his career in Kansas City and has shown he still has plenty left in the tank. I mentioned above that the Raiders have struggled against the run, and Hunt has eclipsed 68 rushing yards in every game he's played this season. This is a very safe bet.
The weakness of the Chiefs' defense is covering tight ends. It has allowed the second-most receptions and yards to the position and tight for the most touchdowns allowed. Bowers is having an incredible rookie season, leading all tight ends in catches and yards. He only has one touchdown catch on the year, but I think with how bad K.C. has been against tight ends, Bowers has a good shot to find paydirt.
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